Survey elections in La Rioja: Vox puts the PP's absolute majority in check, according to Sigma Dos

The Sigma Dos poll for 'El Mundo' places the PP as the leading force, but with a range of seats that could leave Gonzalo Capellán on the verge of losing an absolute majority

3 minutes

encuesta elecciones la rioja

encuesta elecciones la rioja

Add DEMÓCRATA to Google

Ask FREN

Published

Last updated

3 minutes

Most read

The PP would continue to be the most voted force in La Rioja if the regional elections were held today, but it would no longer have guaranteed the absolute majority it achieved in 2023. This is reflected in a Sigma Dos poll for El Mundo, which places the popular party at 46% of the votes and in a range of between 16 and 17 seats, just at the limit that separates governing alone from the need for external support.

The poll, conducted between May 28 and June 4 from 1,007 interviews, maintains Gonzalo Capellán as the clear winner of the elections, but draws a more closely contested Riojan Parliament than the current one. The main change compared to the 2023 elections would not be in the PP, but in the growth of Vox, which increases its electoral and parliamentary weight to become a potentially decisive actor.

The main novelty of the poll is the advance of Vox. The party would go from 7.6% of the votes obtained in the 2023 regional elections to 13.5%.

The absolute majority in the Parliament of La Rioja stands at 17 seats, so a single deputy could determine whether Capellán continues to govern alone or needs parliamentary agreements.

Vote transfer

According to data published by El Mundo, Vox captures part of its new support among former PP voters, although it also receives votes from the PSOE and the Riojan Party. This transfer of support explains why the popular party barely loses electoral backing, but does see its parliamentary position threatened.

The poll also reflects a trend that also appears in other regional polls published in recent months: the strengthening of Vox within the center-right bloc and its growing capacity to influence future regional governments.

The PSOE loses ground compared to 2023

The PSOE would go from 31.9% of the votes obtained in the 2023 regional elections to 26.9%. In parliamentary terms, the fall would be equally significant, going from the current 12 deputies to a range of between 9 and 10 seats.

The loss of socialist support would not be completely compensated by the evolution of IU-Podemos, which would improve its results compared to the last regional elections. The coalition would go from 5.1% to 6.8% of the votes and would retain a representation of between one and two deputies. However, this improvement would not be enough to balance the loss of weight of the main party of the Riojan left.

The result would be a Chamber in which the progressive bloc would have less parliamentary capacity than in the current legislature.

What changes compared to the previous Sigma Dos poll

The comparison with the Sigma Dos poll for El Mundo published about a year ago allows for a better observation of the evolution of the political scenario in La Rioja.

At that time, the polling institute gave the PP 46.8% of the votes, the PSOE 32.6%, Vox 10.1%, and IU-Podemos 5.8%.

The comparison shows several relevant movements:

  • PP: 46.8% → 46.0%.
  • PSOE: 32.6% → 26.9%.
  • Vox: 10.1% → 13.5%.
  • IU-Podemos: 5.8% → 6.8%.

The most striking fact is that the PP barely moves compared to the previous poll. Gonzalo Capellán's party maintains its electoral support practically intact and continues far ahead of its rivals.

On the contrary, the PSOE registers the most significant drop of all parties, while Vox leads the most intense growth in the poll.

The Sigma Dos series thus points to an internal rearrangement of support among the different political forces rather than a change of bloc. The PP would continue to clearly dominate La Rioja politics, but the rise of Vox could alter the government formula that emerged from the 2023 elections.

With approximately one year to go until the next elections in La Rioja, the poll outlines an open scenario in which the PP's victory seems consolidated, but where Gonzalo Capellán's absolute majority no longer appears as assured as a few months ago.

Source: Sigma Dos for El Mundo, published on 08/06/2026. 

PARTY SEATS % VOTES
PP 16-17 46
PSOE 9-10 26.9
Vox 4-5 13.5
Podemos 1-2 6.8

More key points, information and questions with FREN

AI-GENERATED CONTENT

At what stage of the electoral process is the call for regional elections in La Rioja, and what are the legal deadlines for their holding?

Status of a call for regional elections in La Rioja and key legal deadlines

Once the decree calling for regional elections in La Rioja is published in the corresponding official bulletin, the process enters the formal phase of electoral preparation and development. From that moment, all the legal deadlines established by the LOREG, the Statute of Autonomy of La Rioja, and the Riojan electoral regulations begin to be counted. Between the publication of the decree and election day, generally, between 54 and 60 calendar days must elapse. Within this interval, the presentation and proclamation of candidacies, the campaign, voting, the count, and subsequently the constitution of the Parliament of La Rioja take place.

1. Phase after the publication of the decree

With the publication of the call decree in the Official Bulletin of La Rioja, the regional electoral process officially begins. From that moment:

– The date of the election day is set, which must fall within the legal interval of 54 to 60 calendar days from the publication.
– The deadline to submit candidacies to the competent Electoral Board begins.
– Internal calendars of the electoral administration (Electoral Boards, regional and state administration) are activated to organize polling stations, census, postal voting, etc.

Legally, it can be said that the call is in the strict pre-electoral phase, where the main focus is on the presentation and validation of candidacies, a necessary prior step for the subsequent electoral campaign and voting.

2. Deadlines for candidacies and proclamation of lists

From the publication of the decree, the period opens for parties, coalitions, and groups of voters to submit their lists:

Submission of candidacies: must be registered within the 10 calendar days following the publication of the decree.
Provisional proclamation of candidacies: the Electoral Board has approximately 5 days from the end of the submission period to review the lists and make a provisional proclamation.
Claims and appeals: there is usually a 3-day period for parties and candidates to challenge exclusions, errors, or incidents.
Definitive proclamation of candidacies: once claims are resolved, the Electoral Board definitively proclaims the candidacies, which must occur before the start of the electoral campaign.

3. Electoral campaign, reflection day, and voting

Once the candidacies are definitively proclaimed, the stage of public political contest begins:

Electoral campaign: lasts 15 calendar days. During this period, organized electoral propaganda, public events, debates, and intensive dissemination of programs are allowed.
– The campaign usually starts after the definitive proclamation of candidacies and ends at 24:00 hours on the penultimate day before the elections.
Reflection day: the day immediately before voting, electoral propaganda and campaign events are prohibited; it is reserved for the electorate to reflect without partisan pressure.
Election day: is held on the date set by the decree, within the margin of 54 to 60 days from its publication, usually on a Sunday. On that day, polling stations are set up, voting takes place, and the count is conducted at each station.

4. General count, proclamation of elected candidates, and constitution of the Parliament

After voting ends, the process continues with the consolidation of results and the start of the new legislature:

General count: carried out by the Provincial Electoral Board based on the polling station records. It must be completed and made official within a maximum of 5 days after election day.
Proclamation of elected candidates: with the general count, seats are assigned to candidacies according to the applicable electoral system, and the Board officially proclaims the elected regional deputies.
Constitution of the Parliament of La Rioja: according to the Statute of Autonomy, the Parliament must be constituted within a maximum of 20 calendar days from the official proclamation of the elected. In the constitutive session, the Board of the Chamber is elected and deputies take their seats.

5. Overview of the calendar

In summary, the legal calendar, from the publication of the decree to the constitution of the Parliament of La Rioja, follows this approximate sequence: (0–10 days) submission of candidacies, (up to about 18 days) definitive proclamation, (15 days) electoral campaign, (1 day) reflection, (day 54–60) voting, (up to 5 days after) general count and proclamation of elected, and finally, (up to 20 more days) constitution of the Parliament. This entire framework of deadlines aims to guarantee legal certainty, equal opportunities among candidacies, and an orderly transition between legislatures.

What powers and functions does the President of the Government of La Rioja have according to the Statute of Autonomy?

Powers and functions of the President of the Government of La Rioja

Powers and functions of the President of the Government of La Rioja according to the Statute

The Statute of Autonomy of La Rioja (Organic Law 3/1982, of June 9, amended by Organic Law 2/1999) establishes the President of the Government of La Rioja – referred to in the text itself as “President of the Autonomous Community of La Rioja” – as a distinct institutional body that directs the Government, represents the Community, and acts as the ordinary representative of the State. His basic functions are: to direct and coordinate the Government's action, appoint and dismiss councilors, represent La Rioja, and promulgate regional laws in the name of the King. Additionally, he holds the power to dissolve the Parliament early and call elections within set limits, and is politically accountable to the Chamber, which elects him through an investiture procedure. The details of his personal status and powers are completed through a specific regional law enacted under the Statute itself.

1. Institutional position and character of the President

The Statute places the President as one of the basic institutional bodies of the Autonomous Community. Article 16, after the amendment by Organic Law 2/1999, establishes that the institutional bodies of La Rioja are the Parliament, the Government, and its President. This recognizes the President as a distinct statutory body: he is not only the main member of the Government but an institution with specific functions within the Riojan self-government system.

2. Government leadership and institutional representation

The core of the President's material powers is set out in Article 25 of the Statute, also amended by Organic Law 2/1999. First, it establishes that the President “directs and coordinates the Government's actions,” which implies setting the general lines of political action, establishing priorities, and ensuring unity of criteria among the different ministries. Second, the President “appoints and dismisses the Councilors,” concentrating in his person the power to freely appoint and dismiss those who make up the regional Government, without other statutory requirements. Third, the same article states that the President “holds the highest representation of the Autonomous Community of La Rioja and the ordinary representation of the State in this territory,” so he acts simultaneously as the institutional head of La Rioja and as the ordinary representative of the State in the Community, within the framework of the Constitution and the Statute itself.

3. Election, investiture, and appointment

Article 25.2 regulates the election and investiture procedure. The President is elected by the Parliament of La Rioja from among its members and formally appointed by the King. The President of the Parliament, after consulting the political forces represented in the Chamber, proposes a candidate who presents his program and requests parliamentary confidence. In the first vote, an absolute majority of the Parliament members is required; if not achieved, a second vote is held forty-eight hours later, where a simple majority suffices. If no candidate obtains confidence within two months from the first investiture vote, the Parliament is automatically dissolved and elections are called within sixty days, while maintaining the originally scheduled end date of the legislature.

4. Dismissal, political responsibility, and legal development

Article 25.3 lists the cases for the President's dismissal: resignation, death, incapacity, dissolution of Parliament, loss of confidence, and parliamentary censure. This reinforces the parliamentary nature of the system, as the President's tenure depends on the Chamber's confidence, which can be withdrawn through mechanisms established by regional regulations. Article 25.4 adds that a law of the Autonomous Community will regulate the President's personal status, powers, and political responsibility, thus referring to the regional legislator the detailed development of incompatibilities, substitution regime, and other organizational aspects, always within the framework set by the Statute.

5. Dissolution of Parliament and calling elections

In the block of articles dedicated to the Parliament, amended by Organic Law 2/1999, the President is granted important powers over the Chamber. On one hand, the President is responsible for calling regional elections, which may coincide with local elections. On the other, the Statute allows him to agree, after deliberation with the Government and under his exclusive responsibility, the early dissolution of Parliament, with clear limits: it cannot be done during the first session period of the legislature, nor when less than one year remains for its ordinary end, nor while a motion of censure is underway, nor if less than one year has passed since the last dissolution agreed in this way, nor when a state electoral process has already been called. The exercise of this power is formalized in a decree of dissolution and call for elections, in accordance with applicable electoral legislation.

6. Promulgation of regional laws

Article 23 of the Statute, also amended by Organic Law 2/1999, assigns the President a key function in the legislative cycle: the promulgation of regional laws. Once approved by the Parliament, La Rioja's laws are promulgated “in the name of the King” by the President, who must order their publication in the Official Bulletin of La Rioja and in the Official State Bulletin within fifteen days following their approval. Unless otherwise provided, regional laws and regulations come into force twenty days after their publication in the Official Bulletin of La Rioja. The President thus acts as the link between the legislative will of the Parliament and the effective entry into force of regional norms.

7. Fit within the Riojan parliamentary system

Finally, the Statute makes clear, in the articles covering the Parliament's functions, that it is the Parliament's responsibility to elect the President of the Community and control the Government's actions. The President, therefore, synthesizes the logic of Riojan regional parliamentarism: he directs the Government, represents the Community and the State in La Rioja, promulgates laws, and can dissolve the Chamber within certain limits, but is permanently subject to the confidence and control of the Parliament, from which his political legitimacy derives.

How many deputies does the Parliament of La Rioja currently have and what is the composition by groups after the last regional elections?

Current composition of the Parliament of La Rioja and distribution by groups

The Parliament of La Rioja currently has a total of 33 deputies in the XI Legislature, formed after the 2023 regional elections. The absolute majority corresponds to the People's Party (PP), which is the group with the most seats. Following are the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), Vox, and Podemos–United Left, with no currently unassigned deputies nor effective representation in the Mixed Group or Citizens. The composition detailed below reflects the current situation, already incorporating any substitutions or adjustments after election night.

Total number of deputies in the Parliament of La Rioja

According to current data of the XI Legislature, the Parliament of La Rioja is made up of 33 deputies. This figure marks the size of the regional Chamber and serves as the basis for calculating majorities:

Simple majority: more votes in favor than against of those present.
Absolute majority: at least 17 seats (half plus one of 33).

The fact that the legislature is the XI indicates the institutional continuity of the Autonomous Community and frames this composition within the political cycle opened after the 2023 elections, in which a Chamber with a clear center-right predominance has been configured, but with significant presence of the left opposition and a small space for forces to the right of the PP and to the left of the PSOE.

Distribution of seats by parliamentary groups

The current distribution of the 33 seats among parliamentary groups is as follows:

People's Parliamentary Group in La Rioja (PP): 17 deputies.
Socialist Parliamentary Group in La Rioja (PSOE): 12 deputies.
Vox Parliamentary Group in La Rioja: 2 deputies.
Podemos–United Left Parliamentary Group in La Rioja: 2 deputies.

This balance of forces means that the PP alone holds the absolute majority (17 of 33), giving it a dominant position in investiture, approval of ordinary regional laws, and the general orientation of the parliamentary agenda. The PSOE, with 12 seats, is the main opposition force and concentrates most of the center-left space.

The groups of Vox (2 seats) and Podemos–IU (2 seats) complete the parliamentary map, each with limited but sufficient capacity to influence certain debates, register initiatives, and condition, from ideologically different positions, specific political agenda issues such as social, health, educational, or fiscal policies within the Riojan competential scope.

Other formal groups without effective representation

The organizational structure of the Parliament of La Rioja also includes other parliamentary groups:

Citizens Parliamentary Group in La Rioja.
Mixed Parliamentary Group in La Rioja.
Unattached deputies.

However, in the XI Legislature these groups have 0 active deputies. This means that, although they exist as possible organizational containers within the Chamber's Rules, they currently have no effective representation: they do not have their own spokesperson nor allocation of speaking times or resources beyond what their practical nonexistence implies.

The absence of deputies in the Mixed Group and in the “Unattached” space also indicates that, as of today, there are no cases of parliamentarians who have left the group for which they were elected to become individual. Likewise, Citizens, which in previous legislatures had presence in various regional parliaments, has no active representation in this Chamber during the XI Riojan Legislature.

Changes since election night

The available information describes the current snapshot of the Chamber (active deputies by group), but does not provide a chronological detail of each admission, resignation, or change of affiliation. What can be stated with current data is:

– Currently, there are no unattached deputies.
– There are no deputies integrated in the Citizens Parliamentary Group in La Rioja nor in the Mixed Parliamentary Group.
– Any seat substitution (due to resignation, incompatibility, or other cause) or internal reconfiguration that has occurred since the elections is already incorporated in the current distribution of 17 (PP) + 12 (PSOE) + 2 (Vox) + 2 (Podemos–IU) = 33.

Consequently, the numerical distribution indicated can be considered the effective and current composition of the Parliament of La Rioja in the XI Legislature after the 2023 regional elections.

Play

Test your knowledge with FREN!

How much do you know about this topic? Answer the following 3 questions.

What percentage of votes would the Popular Party (PP) obtain in La Rioja according to the Sigma Dos survey published in June 2026?

Question 1 of 3

What is the main change indicated by the survey compared to the 2023 regional elections in La Rioja?

Question 2 of 3

How many seats constitute an absolute majority in the Parliament of La Rioja according to the news?

Question 3 of 3

Hola, soy Fren. ¿Cómo te ayudo?