General election poll: Vox falls, but the right maintains an advantage of almost 13 points over PSOE and the left-wing bloc, according to 40dB

The Popular Party wins clearly but stands at 31.3% of the vote, almost two points less than in the general elections of July 2023. Even so, it remains the leading political force and maintains its dominant position on the electoral board.

Vox falls in the last month, but remains key

Vox loses almost one point in vote intention compared to the previous month, confirming a downward trend. However, it remains the party that has grown the most since 2023, with an accumulated increase of 5.5 points. Although it falls compared to the previous month, its weight remains structural for the right.

The PSOE resists, but does not regain ground

The PSOE remains at 28.4%, 3.3 points below its result in the last elections. Although Pedro Sánchez's party manages to sustain its base, it does not manage to shorten the distance with the PP nor lead an alternative bloc.

Sumar sinks and loses more than 6 points since 23J

The biggest setback occurs in the alternative left. Sumar falls to 5.7%, losing 6.6 points since the 2023 elections and Podemos remains at minimums, around 2.5%, with no capacity to regain ground. As a result, the bloc to the left of the PSOE is reduced to residual levels.

The right widens its advantage despite the fall of Vox

The key to the poll is in the blocs:

• PP + Vox sum 49.2% of the vote
• With SALF they would reach 51.5%, that is, more than half of the political market
• Left (PSOE + Sumar + Podemos) only manage to reach 36.6%

The difference is almost 13 points in favor of the right, which means that even with Vox declining, the gap remains solid.

Alvise grows and approaches Podemos

Another of the relevant movements is the rise of Se Acabó la Fiesta (SALF), the brand driven by Alvise Pérez. It rises almost one point and approaches Podemos's levels, consolidating itself as an emerging player in the radical right-wing space.

Transfers: the left loses voters and the center cools

Transfer data show clear trends:

• Vox maintains the most loyal voter (88%)
• The PP loses 13% to Vox
• The PSOE loses votes to PP and accumulates undecided voters
• Sumar barely retains 50% of its voters

Source: 40dB for El País, published on 05/04/2026.