Iustitia Europa bursts for the first time into an electoral survey with possibilities of obtaining representation in the Congress of Deputies. A study by NC Report, released this Tuesday by the party itself, places the party led by Luis María Pardo at 11.4% of the votes in the Community of Madrid, which would translate into 401,637 votes and four deputies in a general election.
The result would make Iustitia Europa the fifth political force in Madrid, according to this survey, and would significantly alter the current distribution of seats in the constituency. The PP would remain the most voted party, with 31.8%, followed by the PSOE, with 26%. Vox would reach 15.9%, while Sumar/Podemos would obtain 13.1%.
The entry of Iustitia Europa into Congress would have direct consequences on the distribution of seats in Madrid. According to the study, the PP would drop from the 16 deputies it obtained in the 2023 general elections to 12; the PSOE would maintain its position, while Vox would rise from five to six representatives. Sumar/Podemos would lose one deputy, going from six to five, and Iustitia Europa would enter the Lower House with four deputies.
The data should be interpreted as what they are: a demographic snapshot and not a prediction of electoral results. The study has been released by Iustitia Europa and attributed to NC Report.
The 11.4% of Iustitia Europa comes from various blocks
One of the elements that the party highlights from the survey is the origin of its potential voters. According to the analysis included in the study, 51.2% of Iustitia Europa's voters would come from the PP, while 23.7% would have previously voted for the PSOE.
Vox would contribute 13.6% of the party's voters and Sumar/Podemos 9.2%.
The distribution outlines a potential electorate coming from different ideological spaces. According to the calculations provided by Iustitia Europa, 64.76% of its support would come from former voters of the PP and Vox, while 32.89% would originate from voters of the PSOE and Sumar/Podemos.
For Luis María Pardo, president of Iustitia Europa, the result reflects the existence of a demand for political change that transcends the current divisions between blocks.
“More and more Spaniards want real change and are starting to see us as a real political alternative.”
The formation holds that this transversality constitutes one of the main elements of its growth and links its political strategy to the defense of institutional reforms, the fight against corruption, and greater citizen participation.
85.8% demands more citizen control over politicians
The survey also includes a second set of questions about the institutional reforms defended by Iustitia Europa. And the results show high support percentages.
The 85.8% of respondents supports increasing citizen control over political action. A practically identical percentage, 85.6%, supports strengthening judicial independence.
There is also majority support for eliminating public subsidies to political parties. This measure receives 80.6% support.
The depoliticization of institutions reaches 78.3%, while 77.5% supports limiting the mandates of public officials.
Another of the proposals raised in the study consists of directly electing the president of the Government and separating his election from that of the legislative power. This reform receives 70.8% support.
The data that emerges from the set of responses is that the reforms defended by Iustitia Europa have, according to the study, support levels above 70% among the interviewees.
Judicial independence and depoliticization of institutions
The formation of Luis María Pardo places special emphasis on two of its main proposals: judicial independence and the depoliticization of institutions.
According to the results released, both issues receive high support among voters from different parties. The formation interprets these data as a sign that there is a citizen demand for institutional reforms that does not necessarily coincide with the traditional division between left and right.
Iustitia Europa thus presents its political project around a central idea: to modify the operating rules of the system to increase control mechanisms over parties and institutions.
Pardo argues that the coincidence between electoral data and responses about the reforms demonstrates that there is a part of the electorate that wants structural changes.
“These proposals are shared by voters of very different parties,” says the president of Iustitia Europa.
The formation considers that this transversality can become one of its main electoral assets if it manages to translate the declared support for its proposals into effective voting intention.
Corruption remains one of the main concerns
The study also asks about citizens' perception of political corruption. The result is conclusive: 83% of those surveyed consider political corruption a very or quite important problem.
The figure connects directly with one of the axes on which Iustitia Europa has built its public activity: its intervention in judicial proceedings and its participation as a popular accusation in cases related to alleged corruption cases.
The formation precisely uses this trajectory to explain its electoral growth.
“We have come this far working in the courts, confronting corruption and recovering debates that the parties had taken away from the citizens,” says Pardo.
The president of Iustitia Europa maintains that the goal of the formation is not simply to replace one acronym with another, but to modify the functioning of the political system.
More than four out of ten do not rule out voting for Iustitia Europa
The survey also provides a relevant piece of data about the party's growth potential.
When respondents are asked if they would vote for Iustitia Europa considering its fight against corruption and its reform proposals, 6.9% assures that they would vote for the formation.
Another 10.5% claims that they would probably vote for it, while 25.2% indicates that they could consider it.
Added together, 42.6% of those surveyed do not rule out voting for Iustitia Europa under certain circumstances.
This data does not equate to direct voting intention, but it does point to a considerable potential growth space for a formation that until now had not appeared with parliamentary representation in the main electoral surveys.
From judicial activity to the electoral battle
The appearance of Iustitia Europa in the NC Report survey represents a significant step in the strategy of a formation that has tried to turn its legal activity against corruption into a national political project.
The party of Luis María Pardo aims to differentiate itself from traditional formations through a discourse focused on institutional reform, judicial independence, citizen control, limitation of mandates, and the fight against corruption.
The study now places that strategy before a first demographic test: four deputies for Madrid and 11.4% of the votes.
The figure, if confirmed in future independent studies, would place Iustitia Europa in a position capable of altering the political balance of the Community of Madrid and, by extension, the national distribution of seats.
For now, the data comes from a single survey and must be analyzed with caution. But it introduces a novelty in the electoral scenario: a formation that has been extraparlimentary until now appears for the first time with representation in Congress and with a double-digit percentage of votes in Madrid.
The question that remains open is whether that 11.4% represents a temporary ceiling or the beginning of a trend. The answer will depend on whether the next polls confirm the entry of Iustitia Europa into the Chamber and, above all, if the party manages to transform the high declared support for its reforms into effective votes.
For the moment, the NC Report study leaves a clear picture: Iustitia Europa would have four deputies for Madrid, 11.4% of the votes, and a potential electorate that, according to the survey itself, crosses the borders of traditional blocks.