The Ibex 35 opened this Wednesday, August 19, practically flat, with a slight advance of 0.02% to 19,939 points, after closing on Tuesday at 19,934.9 units. However, the tone has quickly worsened: before 10:00 AM, the selective index was down around 0.4% and lost the 19,900 points, with records around 19,858 units.
The Spanish Stock Exchange thus joins the climate of caution that dominates international markets. The main focus is on the strong increase in long-term public debt yields, while Brent oil remains above 90 dollars per barrel and investors await this afternoon the minutes of the last meeting of the U.S. Federal Reserve.
Santander weighs again on the Ibex
One of the main burdens of the morning is Banco Santander, which is down around 1.6%, to 12.26 euros. Its movement is particularly important for the overall market: after its spectacular revaluation, the entity has become the stock with the greatest weight in the Ibex and already represents more than 18% of the index.
The correction comes just before the closing of the acquisition of the American Webster Financial, scheduled for this Thursday. The operation will involve the issuance of about 335 million new shares of Santander. The bank has accumulated a decline of over 3% in the previous two sessions, although it remains one of the major positive protagonists of the Spanish Stock Exchange in recent years.
The rest of the banking sector is also mostly trading in red. Banco Sabadell falls nearly 0.9%, CaixaBank around 0.6%, BBVA 0.5%, and Bankinter another 0.5%. This weakness explains a good part of the Ibex's behavior given the enormous weight that the financial sector has acquired within the Spanish index.
Cellnex leads the declines
The most punished stock in the early stages is Cellnex, which is down around 2.4%, to 25.91 euros. The drop occurs after it was revealed that the National Commission of Markets and Competition has initiated the review of the wholesale market for DTT broadcasting, where Cellnex holds a dominant position.
The CNMC will analyze whether to maintain the current direct regulation or accept a system of binding commitments proposed by the company itself. Cellnex concentrates nearly 90% of the revenue from the signal broadcasting business in Spain and provides 100% of the service to state television channels.
Also standing out among the declines are Acciona, with losses exceeding 1%; Grifols, which falls around another 1%; and Colonial, Amadeus, and several financial stocks.
Solaria soars and Repsol takes advantage of the strength of oil
On the positive side, Solaria appears strongly, advancing nearly 2.4% and once again leading the gains of the Ibex. Following are Inditex and Repsol, both with increases close to 0.8%, and Ferrovial, which gains around another 0.8%.
In the case of Repsol, the persistence of Brent above 90 dollars continues to favor the energy sector. The rise in crude prices is due to tensions in the Middle East and doubts about the situation in the Strait of Hormuz, a scenario that, however, poses a threat to the rest of the market due to its possible impact on inflation and interest rates.
Among the large stocks followed by small shareholders, Inditex manages to act as a counterweight with a rise of 0.8%, while Iberdrola yields around 0.6%. Telefónica, for its part, moves practically flat around 3.68 euros.
Why is debt such a concern now?
Beyond the movements of each company, the main factor explaining investors' caution lies in the bond market. Long-term sovereign debt yields have reached levels not seen in years due to fears of high public deficits and more resilient inflation than expected.
The long-term U.S. bond hovers around a yield of 5.27%, after having reached 5.337% on Tuesday, its highest level in nearly two decades. Also, the yields on German and French debt have recorded strong increases.
Why does this affect the stock market? Because the higher the yield offered by a relatively safe bond, the less attractive it becomes to take risks by buying stocks. Additionally, high market rates increase the cost of financing for companies and households and can ultimately slow down investment and consumption.
Asia in red and Europe without a clear direction
The Spanish session also reflects the bad tone coming from Asia. The Japanese Nikkei has fallen more than 3% and the South Korean Kospi nearly 6%, with semiconductor manufacturers among the hardest hit after the sales suffered by the U.S. tech sector.
Europe, on the contrary, starts the day practically flat. The Stoxx 600 barely registers changes, with commodities offsetting part of the losses in the technology sector. London, Paris, and Frankfurt are also moving without a clear trend.
The next reference will come from the United States with the publication of the minutes from the Federal Reserve's July meeting. Investors will look for any clues about how much the persistence of inflation can keep interest rates high for longer.
For now, the Ibex faces the third consecutive session under pressure and moves away from the historical highs reached during August. The 20,000-point zone becomes the immediate boundary to measure whether the Spanish market regains momentum or prolongs the correction.