Mid-August. The temperature continues to rise and the beaches remain crowded, but the back to school is already appearing on the horizon. This will be the last week without the usual activity since next the Government returns with the first Council of Ministers after the holidays, scheduled for Tuesday the 25th, the Permanent Deputation meets in Congress and several ministers will parade before their respective committees in the Lower House.
The first touchstone will be the migration crisis in Ceuta, the event that has dominated much of the media focus this summer. The Popular Party does not relent in its attempt to bring the heads of Foreign Affairs, Defense, and Interior, José Luis Albares, Margarita Robles, and Fernando Grande-Marlaska respectively, to the Senate; but none of them will attend the summons. They will give explanations, yes, but in Congress and with the following schedule:
- Albares will appear before the Defense Commission on August 25.
- Félix Bolaños, Minister of the Presidency, Justice, and Relations with the Cortes, will do the same before the National Security Commission on August 27.
- Robles and Marlaska will attend their committees on August 28.
The Permanent Deputation will meet on August 26, time yet to be determined, and the agenda for the session will be closed after receiving proposals from all parliamentary groups, which have until the 24th.
Two laws await
Having passed the last hot week and with the engines already idling, the Congress Table will have to meet to approve the session calendar until December. And after the introductions, the Chamber will set sail and face the final stages of the legislature with many pending subjects.
Before the summer break, the Executive accelerated two initiatives with the aim of channeling them throughout September: the Draft Law on the Protection of Minors in Digital Environments and the Draft Law on Cinema.
The working group of the initiative that aims to guarantee the protection of children and young people on the internet is already constituted, after months of paralysis, and before the holidays, the Socialist Group promoted two amendments that will be the subject of negotiation in September. The first, to classify algorithmic manipulation, and the second, to safeguard the ban on minors on social networks.
Sumar views positively its incorporation into the text and the conversations will be directed to Partido Popular and Junts, whose support is by no means guaranteed not only for the text but also for the transactional amendments in question. The socialists left “satisfied” from the last meeting of the working group, although according to sources from the working group to DEMÓCRATA, there is no closed work schedule.
An element to take into account is that, while the PSOE deputy Inés Plaza is the spokesperson leading the conversations, her bench mate and also spokesperson Adriana Maldonado occupies a central role and is on maternity leave.
Regarding the Film Bill, the summer interrupted conversations that had begun to refine the working group report. The parties that make up the Government, PSOE and Sumar, registered several amendments to promote co-official languages, a gesture also to attract Junts towards the ‘yes’. The Executive is also betting on measures to tackle sexual violence, provide aid to the rural environment, promote the audiovisual industry in the Canary Islands and Balearic Islands, and outline a reduction of aid for production companies that fail to meet requirements.
For its part, Junts demands a much broader fiscal package that includes, among other things, a reduced VAT and aid to artists; while Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya (ERC) is precisely heating up the two points that generate the most friction in the bill: the screen quota and the exhibition window. In both aspects, the Catalan republicans have registered more demanding amendments.
In any case, all groups agreed to resume work in September. Once they are channeled, the Bill for the creation of the Copyright and Related Rights Office would also be unlocked, stalled by a fiscal standoff with two elements: 25% deductions and reduced contributions for musicians.
Until Sánchez decides: the Budgets
The president of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, assures that he does not renounce presenting the project of General State Budgets. The legal deadline for the Government to submit them to Congress is October 1, although it would not be the first time that it fails to meet the deadline or that, even, does not present accounts at all.
If on this occasion he fulfills his commitment to at least present a PGE project, even if it does not go ahead, the rest of the initiatives would remain on standby because public accounts take priority.
Sources from the usual allies of the Government consulted by DEMÓCRATA doubt Sánchez's intentions. They interpret that he plans to use the budget negotiations to showcase a project in a sort of first act of campaign for the upcoming general elections, whose date is around February.
The coalition partner, Sumar, insists that the will is to approve a Budget and, for its part, it will not hold back. In an interview with DEMÓCRATA, the parliamentary spokesperson and co-coordinator of Movimiento Sumar, Verónica M. Barbero, stated that she has “the firm conviction” that Moncloa will present a General State Budget “to approve them.” “I expect a negotiation that will be tough, but we are very eager to push it forward and have a Budget,” she emphasized.
Between priorities and tensions
In the coming months, a hardening of the tone in Sumar with respect to the PSOE is anticipated. The looming general elections always tightens the cord of cordiality in any coalition. Because when the bells of the ballot boxes ring, the teeth are clenched. Likewise, the magenta press because there are priorities they want to finalize before drawing the curtain on the legislature and, whether due to time or lack of will from the socialists, they run the risk of being left behind.
This is the case of the labor registry. Both the Ministry of Economy of Carlos Cuerpo and that of Digital Transformation and Public Function, led by Óscar López, both socialists, have expressed reservations about the proposal made by the Minister of Labor and Social Economy, Yolanda Díaz. The discussion among partners is common in a coalition, but in this case, Sumar considers it a disloyalty and a violation of the coalition agreement itself. Labor will continue with its roadmap and assures that it will not modify its two key points: that the registry be digital to ensure that it is an objective and non-manipulable method to control the working day, and that it be accessible by the Labor Inspection for verification.
Another issue is the universal childcare benefit. The Ministry of Social Rights, Consumption, and Agenda 2030, with Pablo Bustinduy at the helm, wants to include it in the General State Budgets (PGE). Its fate, therefore, seems bleak.
The other two initiatives that Sumar wants to have approved are two sides of the same coin: its bill for the reform of the Penal Code for the protection of freedom of expression, which would basically repeal the crimes of insults to the Crown and offense to religious feelings; and the reform of the Citizen Security Law, better known by its detractors as Mordaza.
These are the minimums of Sumar, but the list of regulations that would be left behind is enormous. Yolanda Díaz would still have pending the Statute of Interns, currently in the phase of amendment expansion.
The Ministry of Health of Mónica García would be one of the most affected. It is one of the portfolios with the most open initiatives, a willingness overflowing with optimism that, however, does not translate into news in the BOE. The trio of health laws (Universality, Cohesion, and Anti-privatizations), the Anti-Tobacco reform and the Medicines Law could be left behind.
The Bill on Families, the Sustainable Consumption regulation (both from Bustinduy), and the protection of minors in digital environments (from Justice, but with the participation of the Ministry of Youth and Childhood of Sira Rego) would suffer the same fate.
Some voices already assume that many of these proposals will not land in the BOE, others insist on pushing because “there is time.” But this is running out, the parliamentary majority remains scant and unstable, and the last phases of legislatures are usually marked by political confrontation as a prelude to the electoral contest. And to make matters worse, Sumar and PSOE have started the new term with a clash led by Sánchez's decision to extend the activity of the Almaraz nuclear power plant.
In search of Treasury
For months, there has been a political consensus around the need to reform the Public Procurement Law to allow for price reviews when unforeseen cost increases occur, especially those arising from regulatory changes. The employers' association of the sector has the approval of unions and employers, as well as the parliamentary spectrum, including PSOE and Sumar. So, why hasn't it been done?
In an interview with DEMÓCRATA Javier Sigüenza, president of alianzAS, the confederation that groups together twelve business organizations of essential services, points to a high official of the Treasury. He assures that it is the ministry that is blocking, they do not know the reason and they are working for the department of Arcadi España to meet with them along with the unions to address the review.
The return to the political course thus brings the Government back to a scenario it knows well: a loaded agenda, a parliamentary majority that forces negotiation for each initiative, and partners who are starting to look more towards the electoral horizon. September will serve to check how many of the pending reforms manage to survive the arithmetic of Congress. Because, at this point in the legislature, the problem for Moncloa is no longer just what it wants to approve, but what time it has left to approve.