The left holds its breath before Zapatero's declaration: "He has to give all the explanations"

The legislature hangs by a thread. The red line remains the illegal financing of the party, but the blow would be fatal if the former president's statement does not convince

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The moment of truth has arrived. The D-Day in historical terms. The Armageddon of the Scriptures. The former Prime Minister, José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero, testifies before the National Court judge José Luis Calama as part of the Plus Ultra case and for the separate proceeding opened after the discovery of jewels appraised at 1.3 million euros. The legislature is faltering, and this Wednesday the balance could tip. If Zapatero offers satisfactory explanations, the PSOE and its allies will have a small breath of fresh air. Otherwise, the blow would be fatal.

Ferraz is confident. Not with blind faith, as in private conversations some admit that "one no longer knows what to think," but with determination. Sources consulted by DEMÓCRATA assure that they have no doubt that Zapatero will provide the pertinent explanations.

The former prime minister has conveyed to the socialist leadership that "he will get into everything" and will leave no room for doubt about his innocence. A message to which they give full credibility. So much so that, despite the unfortunate past experiences of José Luis Ábalos and Santos Cerdán, the party's Organization Secretary, Rebeca Torró, asserted that "we are all very eager for that appearance" because it will be "decisive" in dispelling any hint of shadow.

The government partners also await the appointment and agree on its importance. Sources from Sumar consulted by Demócrata prefer "not to anticipate scenarios." "We are of the opinion that Zapatero and the PSOE must provide all explanations on these cases," and they await that, indeed, it will be so. There are, in fact, several dates marked in red on the calendar. This Wednesday's is one. Thursday, another, as the declaration is divided into two parts. But the magentas do not lose sight of next Wednesday, when Pedro Sánchez will appear before the Plenary.

In Sumar's opinion, it is not just about "surviving," but about giving meaning to the rest of the legislature. "This time must be worthwhile, because people's disaffection upon seeing these cases is tremendous," admit the same sources.

The parliamentary spokesperson for Esquerra Republicana de Catalunya (ERC), Gabriel Rufián, one of the main parliamentary partners of the Executive, looks cautiously. Barely a few hours after he came to Zapatero's defense, he admitted that “perhaps” he was wrong to come out in his defense. At first, he let himself be guided by his personal “affection,” but then he read the ruling, “which is fucked up and I would be lying if I said otherwise.”

In parliamentary headquarters, he sang that of “if this is true, it’s shit, and if it’s a lie, it’s bigger shit,” while brandishing the judge’s ruling. As the hour of truth approaches, for the left it seems clear that the “shit” would be much worse if it were “true,” because rebuilding ranks after the fall of its main reference will be an arduous task.

For their part, Junts, PNV, and Podemos are already calling for elections. In fact, Carles Puigdemont’s party flirted with a *sort of motion of no confidence* via amendment that was stopped by the Congress’s Board.

In short, after Zapatero’s statement, the legislature enters a new phase. The cards are being shuffled and dealt again. The pressure from Junts, PNV, Podemos, and of course PP and Vox will continue because the rest of the cases: Ábalos, Cerdán, Leire Díez… The red line for the partners who support the Executive remains illegal party financing, and in Zapatero’s case, nothing related is expected, but the moral blow to the PSOE would be a torpedo to the waterline and doubts would begin to surface among parliamentary allies and they would break the deck. If not, they will at least gain time. Time that is running out and depends on Zapatero not *falling* this week.

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What is the current parliamentary status of the legislature and what would be the steps for a possible motion of no confidence?

Current situation of the legislature and steps for a motion of no confidence

The legislature in the Congress of Deputies is in ordinary operation, with a highly fragmented Chamber and a PSOE–Sumar coalition Government that governs in minority and depends on external support. The absolute majority is set at 176 seats out of a total of 350, and the Executive does not have that number on its own, so it must negotiate initiative by initiative. As of today, there is no record of any motion of no confidence registered or formally announced in the parliamentary agenda. For a motion of no confidence to succeed, it would be necessary to gather 35 signatures to present it, include an alternative candidate, and achieve the absolute majority of the Congress.

1. Current parliamentary status of the legislature

According to the institutional information available on the composition of the Congress of Deputies, the Chamber has 350 seats, with an absolute majority of 176 deputies required to approve a motion of no confidence or an organic law, and a simple majority (more votes in favor than against) for most ordinary votes. The Congress's own website details the distribution of seats by parliamentary groups in the current legislature in this composition summary, while the internal organization and the Board can be consulted in the Congress Board's profile.

The Government is formed by a coalition between the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) and Sumar, which clearly sums to below 176 seats, configuring a Government in parliamentary minority. This forces it to repeatedly negotiate with other formations (ERC, Junts, PNV, EH Bildu, and Mixed Group, among others) to advance its legislative agenda and the most sensitive votes. Moncloa itself describes this institutional framework and the functioning of the Chamber in a general note about the Congress and Government–Parliament relations, accessible at this informative note.

The legislature is characterized by high fragmentation and constant activity of the Plenary and committees, according to the parliamentary agenda and the plenary calendar. There is no trace in that schedule of a motion of no confidence set for debate or vote, nor are there motions registered in the consulted information. The Government's stability is, therefore, relative: the Executive remains in place but depends on case-by-case agreements and the absence of an alternative majority articulated around a candidate different from the Presidency.

2. Requirements to present a motion of no confidence

The motion of no confidence is mainly regulated in Article 113 of the Spanish Constitution and in the Congress Rules of Procedure. It is a parliamentary control instrument through which the Congress can demand the political responsibility of the Government and, if applicable, replace the president. Its basic requirements are as follows:

First, it must be signed by at least one-tenth of the deputies, that is, by 35 deputies. Only groups that reach that threshold – or the sum of several groups and/or deputies from the Mixed Group – can formally present a motion. Second, the motion of no confidence in Spain is constructive: it must obligatorily include an alternative candidate for the Presidency of the Government. A motion cannot be proposed “in the abstract” without proposing who would assume the headship of the Executive if it succeeds.

Additionally, the motion must be submitted in writing and be motivated, stating the political reasons alleged against the Government. Once registered, the Presidency of the Congress must admit it for processing if it meets all formal requirements. From that moment, a period of two days opens for other groups to present alternative motions, each with its own candidate for the Presidency of the Government.

3. Debate, voting, and effects of the motion

After the deadline for alternative motions, the Presidency of the Congress sets the date for the debate in the Plenary, which is conducted according to a regulated scheme: defense of the motion, intervention of the proposed candidate, turns of the groups, replies, etc. Voting cannot proceed until at least five days have passed since the initial motion was presented, according to constitutional and regulatory practice.

For the motion of no confidence to pass, it is essential that it obtains the absolute majority of the Congress: at least 176 affirmative votes. If that number is reached, the motion is considered approved and the candidate included in it is automatically invested as the new President of the Government, with the immediate replacement of the Executive without the need for a new independent investiture vote.

If, on the contrary, the motion does not reach the absolute majority, it is considered rejected. In that case, the Government continues in full functions and the signatories of the rejected motion cannot present another during the same session period, according to the constitutional design that seeks to avoid abusive use of this instrument.

Thus, the current situation is that of an ongoing legislature, with a minority Government and no motions of no confidence in process; however, the legal framework allows that, if an absolute majority is articulated around an alternative candidate and 35 signatures are gathered, this control and Executive replacement mechanism can be activated at any time.

What are the powers and attributions of the president of the Government and the former president according to Spanish legislation?

Summary answer

The president of the Government is the head of the executive power in Spain and directs the Government's action, coordinates the ministers, politically represents the Executive, and assumes the main responsibility before the Congress. His powers derive mainly from the 1978 Constitution (arts. 97‑100) and Law 50/1997 of the Government, which attribute to him the direction of internal and external policy, defense, and civil and military administration. The former president, on the other hand, retains no public authority nor political leadership powers: his role is honorary, with certain economic, security, and protocol rights regulated in budgetary and regulatory norms. Consequently, the president and former president differ radically: the former exercises effective power; the latter retains only a status of institutional respect and protection, but without government functions.

Powers and attributions of the president of the Government

The figure of the president of the Government is essentially regulated in the Spanish Constitution (especially articles 97 to 100) and in Law 50/1997, of November 27, on the Government. From a legal-political point of view, he is the highest authority of the executive power and the center of gravity of governmental life.

Government direction and Executive coordination

Article 98 CE establishes that the president directs the Government's action and coordinates the functions of the other members. This translates into the ability to set the major lines of political action, prioritize reforms, order the drafting of bills, and decide the general orientation of all public policies (internal, external, economic, social, defense, etc.).

Likewise, the president presides over the Council of Ministers, convenes its meetings, sets the agenda, and ensures coherence among the different ministerial departments. Through this faculty, he effectively exercises the leadership of the Executive.

Relationship with the King, Parliament, and the rest of the State

The president proposes to the King the appointment and dismissal of ministers (art. 100 CE), which gives him decisive control over the Government's composition. He presents the Congress of Deputies with the government program at the start of the legislature and may raise a vote of confidence to reinforce his parliamentary legitimacy. In turn, he may be subject to a motion of no confidence, which is the main mechanism of political responsibility before the Congress.

Institutionally, the president represents the Government before the King, the Cortes Generales, and in relations with other State institutions. He also assumes the direction of foreign and defense policy, as well as civil and military administration, although many of these functions are exercised collegially in the Council of Ministers.

Normative power and emergency decisions

Although normative power belongs to the Government as a collegiate body, the president's leadership is decisive in adopting royal decree-laws in cases of extraordinary and urgent need. These norms with the rank of law must be validated by the Congress, but the political initiative and decision to resort to this tool essentially rest with the president and his team.

In short, the president of the Government is the driving and coordinating center of the Executive's normative, budgetary, and strategic activity, and his position is reinforced by direct political responsibility before the Congress of Deputies.

Legal status and prerogatives of the former president of the Government

The status of the former president of the Government is not configured as a new executive power organ, but as an honorary position. Spanish regulations do not recognize him public powers or decision-making competencies after leaving office: he ceases to be part of the Government and does not direct or coordinate policies.

Absence of public powers

From the moment of leaving office, the former president has no capacity to issue administrative decisions, direct public bodies, or intervene in the Council of Ministers. Any public sphere action he may perform (for example, participation in forums, conferences, or honorary missions) is done without decision-making power or full official State representation, except for specific and limited assignments by the current Government.

Economic rights and material support

The former president's status includes economic rights, established mainly in budgetary norms and government regulations. Among them are an economic benefit (similar to a pension or allowance) and an allocation for office expenses and support staff, aimed at facilitating his institutional and representative activity as a former head of Government.

These benefits are regulated and financed through the General State Budget Law and complementary provisions, linked to the consideration that the former president remains a figure of public interest, although without exercising executive functions.

Security and personal protection

Former presidents are entitled to a personal security detail provided by the State Security Forces and Corps. The intensity, means, and specific duration of this protection are determined by risk assessment criteria, considering their public exposure and threats that may arise from the office held.

Protocol and institutional precedence

In official acts, the former president enjoys a special protocol treatment, which translates into precedence, mention, and institutional recognition. This honorary position is based on prior service to the State by having held the headship of Government, but it does not entail participation in decision-making or public policy development.

In short, while the incumbent president concentrates political leadership competencies and responsibility before Parliament, the former president only retains a status of institutional respect with material, security, and protocol support, lacking effective public authority.

What has been the political and professional trajectory of José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero before and after his presidency?

Political and professional trajectory of José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero

Summary answer

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is a Spanish socialist politician who, after a long career as a deputy for León and internal PSOE leader, reached the party's General Secretariat in 2000 and the presidency of the Government in 2004, a position he held until 2011. Before becoming president, his trajectory was defined by discreet parliamentary work, his rise as a symbol of generational renewal after the felipismo era, and his role as opposition leader against Aznar's second Government. As president, he promoted an agenda strongly marked by civil rights, equality, and historical memory, but his second term was heavily conditioned by the economic crisis and austerity measures. After leaving Moncloa, he has oriented his activity towards international mediation (especially in Latin America), participation in forums and foundations, conferences, and reflection on social democracy, maintaining a relevant — and controversial — influence in Spanish and international political life.

Education and early political steps

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero was born in Valladolid on August 4, 1960, and graduated in Law from the University of León. His legal training and brief teaching experience were soon overshadowed by an almost exclusive dedication to politics. His biography is marked by the family memory of the Civil War — especially the figure of his executed grandfather — which helps explain his later sensitivity towards historical memory policies and antifranquism.

He joined the PSOE during the Transition years, at the end of the 1970s. In those early years, he developed his activity in the socialist organization in León and Castilla y León, with presence in youth groups, provincial executives, and internal bodies. He did not project himself as a mayor or a major territorial baron, but as a party cadre and grassroots parliamentarian, more focused on organic and legislative work than on media prominence.

Deputy and internal rise in the PSOE before the presidency

In 1986 he was elected deputy in the Congress for the León constituency and was successively re-elected during the 80s and 90s. In his first legislatures, he maintained a profile as a hardworking parliamentarian: participating in commissions (such as legal or constitutional ones, depending on the stage), intervening in legislative committees, and consolidating as a specialist in desk work, with little public stridency. Over time, especially after the decline of felipismo, he gained weight within the parliamentary group and the party structure.

The PSOE's defeat in 1996 and, above all, the new setback in 2000 against José María Aznar's PP opened an internal crisis that accelerated the search for generational renewal. At the PSOE's 35th Congress (2000), Rodríguez Zapatero ran for the General Secretariat against more veteran and well-known leaders. His candidacy embodied a “new socialist way”: promises of more internal democracy, partial break with felipismo's inertia, and a less presidential leadership style within the party. He won the vote by a narrow but sufficient margin to become secretary general and, de facto, opposition leader in the 2000–2004 legislature.

From that moment, he reoriented the socialist discourse towards three main axes: frontal opposition to Spanish participation in the Iraq war, defense of new civil rights (especially in LGTBI matters and gender equality), and a more calm and dialoguing parliamentary tone, although firm against the right. This combination of internal regeneration and rights agenda made him the alternative to the PP Government before his arrival at Moncloa.

Period as president of the Government (2004–2011)

His arrival at the presidency occurred after the March 2004 general elections, in a context marked by the 11-M attacks and the wear of Aznar's Government due to the Iraq war and the management of those events. In his first term (2004–2008), he promoted a package of reforms with strong social and symbolic content: withdrawal of troops from Iraq, approval of same-sex marriage, expansion of LGTBI rights, Historical Memory Law, gender equality policies, and a strong Spanish role in the international discourse on human rights and multilateralism. He also faced an intense territorial agenda with the new Statute of Catalonia, which fueled a very polarized debate.

The second term (2008–2011) was dominated by the international financial crisis and the euro crisis. The priority shifted from expanding rights to managing the recession and deficit, with fiscal adjustment measures and unpopular reforms in labor and pensions. Much of the left and his own electorate reproached him for a turn towards austerity policies, while the right blamed him for the magnitude of the crisis's impact in Spain. This tension left an ambivalent legacy: a president associated with major advances in civil rights, but also with a highly disputed management of the economic crisis.

Later trajectory: international mediation and public presence

After deciding not to run again and leaving the Government in 2011, Zapatero maintained significant influence in the PSOE, but without executive organic positions. He participates in congresses and conventions, repeatedly calls for internal unity, and acts as a doctrinal reference of Spanish socialism, supporting at different times leaderships such as those of Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba or Pedro Sánchez. His voice continues to carry symbolic weight in the party's strategic debates.

At the same time, he shifts much of his activity to the international sphere, especially Latin America. His role in political dialogue processes in Venezuela stands out, trying to mediate between Nicolás Maduro's Government and opposition sectors in various rounds sponsored by regional or multilateral actors. This work makes him a very controversial figure: for some, a mediator committed to negotiated solutions; for others, an interlocutor who helps legitimize an authoritarian regime. He also participates in forums on peace, post-conflict, and Euro-Latin American cooperation, and collaborates with foundations and spaces linked to social democracy and human rights.

Professionally and academically, he develops an intense agenda of lectures at universities, think tanks, and economic forums, addressing topics such as the crisis of the European social model, the challenges of the left, equality policies, or historical memory. He publishes books and reflective texts on his Government experience and the evolution of social democracy. Additionally, he maintains a constant presence in the media, where he analyzes Spanish and international politics, defends his legacy in civil rights, and offers his version of the decisions made during the crisis.

Overall, his trajectory depicts a leader who goes from a discreet cadre to party leader and president, leaves a deep mark in the field of rights and memory, and who, as a former president, reinvents himself as an international mediator and doctrinal reference, maintaining a high degree of polarization in public opinion.

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Before which judge has José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero testified in the framework of the Plus Ultra case?

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What is the value of the jewels involved in the separate piece for which Zapatero testifies?

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What does the PSOE leadership expect regarding Zapatero's appearance before the judge?

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