The weather can be one of the great factors for enjoying the total solar eclipse on Wednesday, August 12. The prediction from AEMET points to a day of stability in much of Spain, with mostly clear or clear skies, although the situation will be somewhat more uncertain precisely in some of the northern peninsular areas through which the totality band will pass.
Galicia and the Cantabrian area will start the day with cloudy skies or intervals of low clouds and possible fog banks, but the general trend will be to clear up. The problem may come later: during the afternoon, evolving cloudiness will form in the northern mountains, so conditions may vary depending on the chosen place to observe the eclipse.
Castilla y León is one of the most favorable options
Among the communities located in the totality band of the eclipse are Galicia, Asturias, Cantabria, Basque Country, Navarra, La Rioja, Castilla y León, Madrid, Castilla-La Mancha, Aragón, Catalonia, Valencian Community, and Balearic Islands.
The prediction from AEMET offers a particularly favorable scenario in much of the interior peninsular, where mostly clear or clear skies will prevail. This makes the interior areas of the totality band one of the most interesting options for those who can choose where to move.
In Castilla y León, therefore, the forecast starts from a more stable situation than that of Galicia or the Cantabrian region. Nevertheless, the evolution of the clouds during the afternoon will be decisive and may vary from one area to another.
Galicia and the Cantabrian: more clouds, but with a tendency to clear
Galicia and the Cantabrian coast face the eclipse with greater uncertainty. AEMET predicts that the day will start with cloudy skies or intervals of low clouds and possible morning fog, although it indicates a general trend towards clearer skies.
The situation may be more complicated on the coasts of Galicia and the Cantabrian Sea, where mists and coastal fogs could persist. That is to say, not all locations in these communities will have the same conditions to observe the eclipse.
Additionally, in the afternoon, evolving cloudiness will develop in the northern peninsular mountains. This adds another factor to consider if the chosen place to observe the phenomenon is in a mountainous area.
Pyrenees: more uncertainty due to storms
The outlook also changes to the east. AEMET forecasts evolving cloudiness during the afternoon in the eastern third and notes that storms or isolated showers could occur, with a higher probability in the eastern Pyrenees.
Therefore, those who have chosen areas of Catalonia, Aragon, or Navarre to observe the eclipse should take into account that the forecast is less stable in the mountainous areas of the east than in other areas of the interior.
The south starts with clear skies, but is not in the totality strip
The weather forecast is very favorable in much of the peninsular south, with few clouds or clear skies. But these areas are not part of the strip from which the total solar eclipse can be observed.
In addition, AEMET forecasts very high temperatures, with maximums above 35 degrees in much of the Peninsula and values that could exceed 40 degrees in the Guadalquivir and the Ebro valley.
Therefore, for those traveling to the totality strip, it will be necessary to not only look at the sky: it will also be necessary to take into account the temperatures and the conditions of the terrain.
Where will it be easier to see the eclipse?
With the available forecast, the interior areas of the totality strip of the eclipse on August 12 start with a more favorable meteorological situation than the coastlines of Galicia and the Cantabrian Sea. Castilla and León is one of the areas with a more stable scenario, while Galicia and the Cantabrian Sea will first have to overcome low cloudiness and possible fog.
In the mountainous areas of the north and the eastern Pyrenees, there is added uncertainty due to the evolving cloudiness that may appear during the afternoon. The choice of the specific point will therefore be especially important.
The forecast can still change, and it will be necessary to consult AEMET updates before traveling. But, with the available data, the interior of the totality strip starts with better prospects than the coastal areas of the north and the mountainous areas where clouds may develop during the afternoon.