The president of the Junta de Andalucía and PP-A candidate to revalidate his position, Juanma Moreno, pointed out this Tuesday that a “very strong defeat” of the PSOE-A in the regional elections of May 17 could push the head of the central Executive, Pedro Sánchez, to bring forward the general elections to July.
In the Encuentros Ser forum, held in Seville, Moreno first emphasized that Sánchez is “absolutely unpredictable and anything can happen with him,” although he admitted that there is a factor that, in his opinion, could indeed accelerate an immediate call in July: that the PSOE-A, on May 17, falls to a “very low floor.”
He has described a possible scenario in which the PSOE-A in the Andalusian Parliament falls below the 30 seats of the last legislature, compared to a broad majority for the PP-A.
“I think there would start to be an internal rebellion of mayors, which is what precipitated the elections of July 23, 2023, and Sánchez quelled those movements, that rebellion, by calling elections,” he recalled.
Moreno has shown himself to be sure that Sánchez is going to “try to hold on as long as he can looking for a scenario that is more favorable to him than the current one, but what everything seems to indicate is that the Socialist Party of Andalusia has no option for government”.
Regarding the internal polls of the PP-A, the so-called 'tracking', he explained that they place his party "very close to that majority of stability", although he specified that there are "four or five provinces where the last deputy is at stake, up in the air, and between "15,000 and 20,000 votes can change the map of Andalusia".
“It can perfectly happen that I fall two or three seats short of an absolute majority and it can perfectly happen that I am above an absolute majority,” he pointed out, before underlining that both “things are possible because they will depend on that very fine margin in a series of provinces where we are fighting for the deputy in the remaining seats.”
Looking ahead to the last four days of the campaign, he announced that the PP-A will focus on conveying to the public that this "is not won, that polls have shown us throughout democratic history that they often fail". "What we are going to do in these four days is mobilize our electorate to the maximum and, above all, speak to the undecided, those who have lost faith in politics and do not want to vote."
“What I want is to encourage you to go vote for stability,” remarked the PP-A candidate, warning that if that stability majority is not reached, what arrives is “mess” and the need to depend on “the whims” of a force like Vox and a political leader “in an office in Madrid, at the headquarters” national of said party.
According to what has been indicated, there are already two formations, PSOE-A and Vox, that have clearly and manifestly stated that they are not going to abstain” to facilitate his investiture even if he achieved “54 deputies and we are 10 votes short of 55”, the threshold for an absolute majority.
“There is no indirect vote, therefore, citizens have it clearer: Either we have a sufficient majority, or we are going to depend on permanent and constant blackmail, in this case by Vox,” he stated.
In relation to the electoral debate held this Monday on RTVA, Moreno has defended that Andalusians clearly saw that “there are two blocs”, the one made up of the opposition parties, PSOE-A, Vox, Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía, and the government bloc embodied by PP-A.
In his opinion, the only purpose of the opposition bloc is to "break the majority of stability that we Andalusians have enjoyed" and "they have no government program," but rather they limit themselves to "criticism" focused on healthcare and they put forward "unrealistic proposals, because they are unfulfillable" and in some cases even "illegal," like some from Vox.