A new Ipsos Perú poll shows a change in the electoral scenario ahead of the second presidential round on June 7: Keiko Fujimori stands at 39% intention to vote, while Roberto Sánchez falls to 35%, thus breaking the technical tie recorded in the previous measurement.
The survey, commissioned by the newspaper Perú21 and conducted on May 16 and 17, 2026, confirms a relevant movement in the electorate, marked by both Fujimori's advance and the fall of the Juntos por el Perú candidate in different segments of the country.
Fujimori's lead grows and rural support for Sánchez falls
The Ipsos study reflects unequal behavior according to territory. In Lima, Fujimori reinforces her position and rises from 50% to 54%, consolidating her leadership in the capital. In contrast, Sánchez declines slightly in this area.
In the urban interior, the scenario shows stability for Fujimori, while Sánchez loses ground, dropping from 40% to 36%. However, the most significant change occurs in the rural area, where the candidate goes from 55% to 49%, his main base of support.
The undecided bloc gains weight in the electoral scenario
One of the most relevant elements of the poll is the increase in electoral uncertainty. The percentage of undecided voters rises from 7% to 12%, while blank or spoiled votes remain at significant levels.
Overall, the bloc of voters who have not yet decided or reject both candidates reaches approximately a quarter of the electorate, becoming a key factor for the outcome of the election.
A tight lead within the margin of error
Although Fujimori appears as the favorite in the measurement, the four-point difference is within the study's margin of error (±2.8%), which keeps the result in a competitive and undefined territory.
The poll also suggests that the greater public knowledge of the candidates after the first round has not benefited Sánchez homogeneously, who faces a setback after the increase in his visibility during the campaign.
The advance of the contest has been accompanied by a charged political climate, especially around Sánchez's positions on figures like Antauro Humala and the controversies in his political circle, factors that, according to the survey, have influenced the perception of part of the electorate.