The Partido Popular and Vox would once again achieve an absolute majority if general elections were held today. This is reflected in the latest poll conducted by the DYM Institute for 20 Minutos, which places Alberto Núñez Feijóo and Santiago Abascal's bloc above the 176 seats needed to govern, at a particularly delicate moment for the PSOE following the indictment of former president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero in the Plus Ultra case.
The survey, however, points to a limited impact of this judicial episode on the socialist vote. The PSOE barely drops two tenths compared to the previous poll and maintains a voting intention of 27.7%, while Pedro Sánchez remains the preferred leader as President of the Government ahead of Feijóo.
The main data from the poll are as follows:
- PP: 34.8% and between 144 and 148 seats.
- PSOE: 27.7% and between 107 and 111 deputies.
- Vox: 16% and between 54 and 56 seats.
- Sumar: 5.7% and up to 9 deputies.
- Podemos: 3.5% and a maximum of 3 seats.
PP and Vox's absolute majority is consolidated
The main conclusion of the study is the consolidation of the right-wing bloc. The sum of PP and Vox would clearly surpass the absolute majority in Congress, something that did not happen after the general elections of July 2023 despite Feijóo's electoral victory.
Furthermore, both parties would improve their results compared to their current representation in Congress:
- The PP would go from 137 deputies to a range of 144-148.
- Vox would rise from the current 33 to between 54 and 56.
The poll also reflects that the PP continues to be the party with the highest voting loyalty.
- 84% of those who voted for Feijóo in 2023 would do so again.
- Vox retains 82% electoral loyalty.
- The PSOE stands at 71%.
Despite the conservative bloc's advantage, the PP remains far from the best polling data it achieved after the 2023 general elections, when some polls even placed it above 37% voting intention.
The PSOE withstands the impact of the Zapatero case
The survey was conducted a few days after the indictment of José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero became known, and even so, the socialist decline is small.
The PSOE loses only two tenths compared to the previous poll, although it remains clearly below the result obtained in the 2023 general elections.
- In July 2023, the PSOE achieved 31.7% of the votes.
- Now, the poll places it at 27.7%.
Even so, Pedro Sánchez slightly improves his rating and ties with Feijóo as the best-rated leader, both with an average score of 3.7 out of 10.
Furthermore, Sánchez remains the preferred candidate for President of the Government:
- Sánchez: 42.9%
- Feijóo: 36.6%
The study also reflects an improvement in the general assessment of the Executive, which reaches its best historical data in this barometer.
Sumar regains ground and Podemos continues to fall
Another key aspect of the survey lies in the behavior of the alternative left.
Sumar manages to partially recover after several months of decline and gains eight tenths compared to the previous poll. Podemos, on the other hand, loses three tenths.
- Sumar rises to 5.7%.
- Podemos falls to 3.5%.
The improvement of Yolanda Díaz's bloc coincides with the slight socialist wear and points more towards internal movements within the progressive electorate than a massive shift towards the right.
Even so, the space to the left of the PSOE remains far from the results it obtained in 2023 when both parties ran together in the general elections. The poll also reveals a particularly striking piece of data: 8% of former Sumar voters state that they would now vote for the PP, the largest transfer detected between ideological blocs.
Source: DYM Institute for 20 Minutos, published on 05/28/2026.
| PARTY | % OF VOTE |
| PP | 34.8 |
| PSOE | 27.7 |
| Vox | 16 |
| Sumar | 5.7 |