Tucker Carlson ha situado una fecha en el debate sobre el próximo paso de Donald Trump en Irán. En un mensaje publicado el domingo 1 de noviembre, el expresentador de Fox News sostiene que, según personas que siguen de cerca las deliberaciones, el presidente estadounidense probablemente decidirá de aquí al sábado 7 si autoriza o descarta el uso de armas nucleares. Carlson no identifica a esas personas ni presenta una prueba alguna que respalde su versión y ha sido con rechazo por los analistas estadounidenses, pese al antiguo ascendente del comentarista entre fuentes republicanas.
Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickax Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program. No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. “Bibi calls Trump about it every day,” says an informed observer. Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. After last week’s election results, he can’t form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations and possibly jail. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war. To that end, he’s applied maximum pressure to his closest allies in the administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper. Both oppose a negotiated settlement to the war they’ve so grievously mismanaged; both are pushing to restart major combat operations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA director John Ratcliffe are also following Netanyahu’s lead, as are leaders of the Democratic Party. In a recent meeting on the subject, former president Barack Obama said he opposes the current Iran peace deal being drafted in Doha. The rest of America’s longtime allies in the Middle East are terrified by the prospect of more war. On September 27th, Netanyahu flew secretly to Abu Dhabi to enlist the UAE in his lobbying effort for a final attack on Iran. The Emiratis refused. After eight months of conflict, Gulf economies are teetering. So are global energy and fertilizer markets. They won’t recover soon. Globally, there are a total of about 850 supertankers used to transport oil from producers to the rest of the world. In October alone, 11 of them were badly damaged in Hormuz. At this pace, a global depression is imminent. A nuclear strike would radically accelerate the destruction. Fallout from a ground explosion at Pickax Mountain would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning the water supply for 100 million people. And those are just some of the immediate consequences for the region. The rest of the world is every bit as exposed. No country other than the United States has ever used a nuclear weapon in war. Some would like to. An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent. The Russians have already told at least two other governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul. After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final. We’ve been sleepwalking toward this moment for months. Since February, the administration has quietly rewritten America’s nuclear doctrine to make first use of so-called “battlefield nukes” easier and therefore more likely. No one in Washington in either party seems bothered by this. Now we’re on the brink of it. Close observers say Trump is likely to decide by next weekend whether or not to use nuclear weapons. That would be November 7, six days from now. To his credit, he’s hesitating. At the moment, Trump is listening to his vice president, JD Vance, and to his envoy and friend Steve Witkoff, both of whom argue a deal with Iran can be made. They’re right, though it won’t be simple. The Iranians are famously frustrating to negotiate with under any circumstances, and elements of that government have become more radical since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family were killed in February. After decades of isolation, even relatively moderate Iranian leaders seem confused by how decisions are made in the West. (There is a widespread belief in Tehran, for example, that the United States government controls Israel.) But overall, people who have spoken to decision-makers in Iran say there is consensus there that more war is bad for everyone and a deal is worth making. One group that hasn’t been consulted so far is the global population — the hundreds of millions of people who will be killed along with their children if Trump is pushed by Netanyahu into launching a nuclear strike next week. Now would be the time for them to speak up.
— Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson) November 2, 2026
Qué dice Carlson sobre el calendario de las midterms
La expresión que utiliza es «by next weekend»: para el próximo fin de semana. El propio Carlson precisa que se refiere al 7 de noviembre. Las elecciones de mitad de mandato se celebran el martes 3, de modo que el plazo que describe abarca los días previos y posteriores a la votación. La fecha corresponde a la supuesta decisión de Trump, no a la ejecución de un ataque.
Sí hay información independiente que vincula el calendario electoral con una posible escalada militar. Según Axios, Trump y el primer ministro israelí, Benjamín Netanyahu, hablaron el sábado sobre las negociaciones con Irán y la posibilidad de reanudar los combates tras las midterms. Esa información se refiere a operaciones militares; no confirma que Washington esté preparando un ataque con armas nucleares.
Pickaxe Mountain: qué ha dicho Trump y qué le atribuye Carlson
Carlson identifica como posible objetivo Pickaxe Mountain, una instalación subterránea del centro de Irán. Atribuye a la inteligencia israelí la sospecha de que Teherán ha reanudado allí el enriquecimiento de uranio y sostiene que Netanyahu presiona a Trump para que actúe. En su relato, el vicepresidente estadounidense, JD Vance, y el enviado especial Steve Witkoff defienden dar más tiempo a la diplomacia. El comentarista no aporta documentación pública sobre esas conversaciones.
Las declaraciones públicas de Trump permiten precisar hasta dónde llega la información. El sábado, ante periodistas en Florida, el presidente sí señaló Pickaxe Mountain al hablar de instalaciones iraníes que Estados Unidos podría atacar. No dijo que emplearía un arma nuclear. El 16 de octubre, preguntado por esa posibilidad en una entrevista con Newsmax, la había descartado expresamente.
La distinción es decisiva: atacar una instalación vinculada al programa nuclear iraní y hacerlo con un arma nuclear son dos decisiones diferentes. Trump ha hablado en público de la primera. La segunda es la hipótesis que plantea Carlson, y el 7 de noviembre es el plazo que citan sus fuentes, no un ultimátum anunciado por la Casa Blanca.