It seems that Pérez Llorca has been good for the PP of the Comunidad Valenciana. A Sigma Dos poll for El Mundo confirms the electoral recovery of the PP and paints an increasingly complicated picture for the PSPV-PSOE. The poll places the popular party clearly as the leading political force and shows Compromís very close to achieving a historic surpassing of the socialists.
The data comes just six months after Juanfran Pérez Llorca took over the Presidency of the Generalitat and in a particularly complex context for Valencian politics. In recent months, the PP has tried to rebuild its image after the strong wear and tear caused by the management of the DANA that cost 230 lives, while the PSPV sought to capitalize on this social discontent.
However, the poll reflects a different reality: the PP improves compared to previous measurements, the left remains far from an absolute majority, and Compromís emerges as the big beneficiary within the progressive space.
This is how the Valencian Courts would be
According to the poll released by El Mundo, the PP would obtain 31.9% of the votes and between 35 and 36 seats. The absolute majority in the Valencian Courts is 50 deputies. With these results, PP and Vox would add between 50 and 53 seats, enough to maintain control of the Generalitat even at the lower end of the range.
On the contrary, PSPV and Compromís would reach between 45 and 49 deputies, insufficient to form a government alternative.
The PP improves compared to the previous Sigma Dos poll
One of the most relevant aspects of the poll is the evolution of the popular party. In the Sigma Dos poll published in March 2025, the PP appeared with a voting intention of 28.4% and an estimate of between 32 and 34 seats. Now the popular party rises to 31.9% and reaches a range of between 35 and 36 deputies.
The improvement coincides with the change at the head of the Generalitat and with the new Executive's attempts to regain political initiative after the crisis generated by the DANA. Despite this, the PP would remain below the 40 seats obtained in the 2023 regional elections.
Compromís threatens the PSOE
The most striking data from the survey is found in the fight for second place. Compromís is positioned at 21% of the votes and between 20 and 22 deputies, very close to the PSPV, which falls to 23.1% and between 25 and 27 seats. The distance between both parties is reduced to barely 2.1 percentage points.
According to the study, a significant part of Compromís' growth comes from former socialist voters.
Among the most relevant vote transfers are:
- 11.3% of former PSOE voters who would now opt for Compromís.
- 66% of Podemos voters who would move to the party led by Joan Baldoví.
The result would consolidate Compromís as one of the regional forces with the greatest growth in all of Spain over the last year.
Vox maintains its key position
The survey also reflects stability in Vox. The party retains practically the same levels of support as in previous polls and remains the fourth political force in Valencia.
Although the PP improves, it still needs Vox to secure a parliamentary majority. The difference between both parties is smaller than in the 2023 regional elections, which increases the relevance of Santiago Abascal's party within the right-wing bloc.
Leader ratings favor Llorca
The survey also includes questions about political leadership. One of the most notable pieces of data is that 42.1% of those surveyed rate Juanfran Pérez Llorca's management at the head of the Generalitat as good or very good.
Furthermore, when asked who best defends the interests of the Valencian Community, the answers place Joan Baldoví at the top, with 30.5%, followed very closely by Llorca, with 29%. Diana Morant is much further behind, with 16.2%.
Less than a year before the regional elections, the Sigma Dos survey points to a recovery for the PP, a strengthening of Compromís within the Valencian left, and growing difficulties for the PSPV to once again lead an alternative government.
Source: Sigma Dos for El Mundo, published on 06/01/2026.
| PARTY | SEATS | % VOTES |
| PP | 35-36 | 31.9 |
| PSPV-PSOE | 25-27 | 23.1 |
| Vox | 15-17 | 15.2 |
| Unidas Podemos | 0 | 1.2 |