The vote scheduled for this Tuesday, June 30, in the investiture debate to which the PP-A candidate for the Presidency of the Junta de Andalucía, Juanma Moreno, will submit in the Andalusian Parliament, will set in motion the calendar that could lead to a repeat of the regional elections in October, in case the necessary majority to invest the president of the Andalusian Government is not reached in two months. That two-month period would begin to be counted from the aforementioned June 30.
This is derived from the provisions on the investiture of the holder of the Presidency of the Junta de Andalucía in both the Statute of Autonomy and the Rules of the Parliament, documents consulted by Europa Press.
After the mandatory round of consultations with the spokespersons of the parliamentary groups, the President of the Parliament, Jesús Aguirre, decided last Wednesday to propose the leader of the PP-A and current acting president of the Junta, Juanma Moreno, as a candidate to preside over the Andalusian Government, and to set the date for his investiture debate for June 29 and 30.
The first vote of that debate will be held on Tuesday the 30th. To be re-elected as president of the Junta, Juanma Moreno needs, in that first vote, an absolute majority, set at 55 deputies in the Andalusian Chamber, two more than the PP-A obtained in the elections of May 17. The 'popular' candidate could surpass that threshold if he adds the support of the Vox group, which has 15 seats and with which he is holding conversations to close a possible pact of governability.
If he does not achieve that absolute majority, a second vote would be held 48 hours later, that is, on Thursday, July 2, and confidence would be considered granted to Moreno if in that vote, or in subsequent ones held within a period of two months, he achieved a simple majority.
The Statute of Autonomy specifies that, in case of "not obtaining said majority" in that second vote on Thursday, "successive proposals" of candidates for the Presidency of the Junta "will be processed in the foreseen manner," and that if, "after the period of two months from the first vote, no candidate has obtained a simple majority, the Parliament will be automatically dissolved and the acting president of the Junta will call new elections."
Parliamentary sources cited by Europa Press have indicated that this two-month period would begin to count from Tuesday, June 30, the date on which the first vote could fail, and would conclude on August 30.
If no investiture were successful within that two-month period, the decree calling for new elections would be signed on Monday, August 31, published in the Official Gazette of the Junta de Andalucía (BOJA) on September 1, and the following day, Wednesday, September 2, the 54-day period for holding the regional elections would begin, which in that scenario would take place on Sunday, October 25.
It would be the first occasion on which elections to the Andalusian Parliament would be repeated since the creation of the autonomy. However, there are precedents of investiture debates in which the candidate did not obtain the required majority in the first vote.
The most recent case was that of the then general secretary of the PSOE-A, Susana Díaz, after the March 2015 elections, in which the socialists won, but with 47 seats they fell eight short of an absolute majority and required an agreement with Ciudadanos for their candidate to be invested as president of the Junta, something she only achieved on the fourth vote she underwent after those elections.