Peru is living through nail-biting hours with a tight presidential election that, at the time this article is written, has not yet produced a clear winner.
Last Sunday, Peruvians were called to the polls for the second round of an election that pitted Keiko Fujimori, candidate for Fuerza Popular and daughter of the autocrat Alberto Fujimori, against Roberto Sánchez, a leftist candidate from Juntos por el Perú.
According to the data provided by the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE) - and which DEMÓCRATA is following minute by minute - the tight difference between the two candidates maintains a scenario of technical tie, while the scrutiny of the last pending ballots continues.
About 5% of the votes still remain to be counted, mainly from rural areas, where Sánchez shows greater electoral support.
Likewise, the counting of ballots continues with the ballots from abroad, which already account for about one in every four ballots scrutinized. With the latest count data, Fujimori obtains 49.93% of the votes, while Roberto Sánchez stands at 50.07%.
The vote cast from Peruvian consulates abroad continues to show a clear inclination towards the right-wing candidate, who concentrates approximately two-thirds of these ballots.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has reported that the reception of the ballots corresponding to this overseas vote will conclude this Wednesday, a process that includes the results from 2,506 polling stations distributed in 73 countries.
Calls for calm amid the wait for the final result
With the scrutiny advancing at this hour (9:00 PM on Tuesday) to 95.9% of the total count, the electoral process in Peru enters its decisive phase, although there are still 2,202 pending ballots and another 1,547 challenged ballots to be counted, currently under review by the Special Electoral Juries (JEE). Together, these documents represent around 1,124,700 votes yet to be determined.
More than 27.3 million Peruvians went to the polls to elect the country's next president for the 2026-2031 period, in an election marked by uncertainty and the backdrop of a decade of political instability in which Peru has had eight presidents in ten years.
Absenteeism has become one of the most relevant elements of the second round of the presidential election in Peru. Of the 27,325,432 citizens called to the polls, approximately 25% did not go to the polls, which is equivalent to about seven million people.
This is one of the highest figures recorded in the last two decades for a second round in the country. In the first round of the general elections held in April, the number of absentees reached 7.1 million voters.
In this scenario of maximum expectation, Roberto Sánchez expressed himself last Monday "confident and optimistic", although he insisted on the need to wait for the total closure of the scrutiny before proclaiming any results. For her part, Keiko Fujimori also called for prudence and serenity while the count continues, assuring that she will respect the final result "whatever it may be".
Fujimori: third time's the charm
After three consecutive defeats at the polls —against Ollanta Humala in 2011, Pedro Pablo Kuczynski in 2016, and Pedro Castillo in 2021—, Fujimori could finally reach the Presidency of Peru this electoral cycle.
However, if her victory is confirmed, it would be by a very narrow margin, reflecting a deeply divided society and an electoral contest marked by polarization.
In a campaign marked by citizen concern about insecurity and political instability, Fujimori has focused her discourse on the promise to restore order under the slogan "Fujimori returns, order returns".
With Peru going through a decade of strong institutional volatility, in which eight presidents have held power, Fujimori has presented herself to the electorate as an alternative capable of offering stability and a firm response to the increase in crime.
During the only televised debate of the campaign, the candidate presented her proposals on citizen security. Among them, she proposed that people deprived of their liberty carry out work to cover part of their maintenance costs and participate in public utility projects.
Fujimori's legacy
In that debate, Fujimori analyzed what, in her opinion, is the situation in the country and even described a Peru marked by insecurity and violence. "Our country lives in a topsy-turvy world. Military and police are persecuted, neighbors live behind bars, and criminals are free [...] From day one, we will act with great force", she stated.
Along these lines, she promised the expulsion of irregular migrants who commit crimes and the permanent deployment of police and military personnel on public transport in the main metropolitan areas.
But her speech did not only focus on the present. She also resorted to the past to appeal to her father's legacy. Alberto Fujimori was president of Peru between 1990 and 2000. He came to power with a discourse of change in the face of crisis and during his term he applied harsh reforms that stabilized the economy, although his government was marked by a self-coup, accusations of authoritarianism and serious human rights violations, as well as a corruption network. After his fall, he was sentenced to 25 years in prison.
"In order to combat terrorism, the armed forces, the National Police were strengthened, we worked with the peasant patrols, the self-defense committees and the organized population, there was a state presence at the national level… we will do the same now against criminality", his daughter stated during the electoral debate, whitewashing his legacy.
The "heir of the hat"
On the other side is Roberto Sánchez, who seeks to attract especially the vote of the followers of Pedro Castillo, the former president currently imprisoned after his attempted self-coup in 2022. His campaign has been closely linked to this political inheritance, to the point of being presented as the "heir of the hat" of Castillo, a symbol with which he tries to represent the rural world and the electorate of the Andean regions.
The candidate of Juntos por el Perú has followed the so-called "castillista route" during the campaign, a strategy that replicates the political journey that led Castillo from rural areas to the presidency in 2021.
The link between the two was strengthened after a message of support from Pedro Castillo from prison, in which the former president symbolically handed over his hat as political endorsement. Since then, Sánchez has insisted on the need to free his predecessor and has even proposed a possible pardon if he comes to power.
Founder of Juntos por el Perú in 2008, Sánchez has historically defended democratic left-wing positions, including the proposal for a new Constitution and the revision of the economic model.
However, in the final weeks of the campaign, he has tried to project a more moderate image, incorporating commitments to macroeconomic stability, respect for the autonomy of the Central Bank, and maintenance of free trade agreements.
Born in Huaral in 1969, the son of a working-class family, Sánchez has built his political narrative around his humble origins. Before his political career, he studied psychology and worked in the public sector, in addition to participating in social projects linked to vulnerable communities.
Political Thermometer of Latin America
In recent years, Latin America has experienced a profound change in its political landscape. After a period marked by the rise of progressive governments, the right has regained prominence with electoral victories in countries such as Argentina, Ecuador, Panama, the Dominican Republic, Chile, Bolivia, and Costa Rica, consolidating a conservative shift that has redefined the balance of power in the region.
The outcome of the Peruvian elections acquires a relevance that transcends its borders. The result will not only determine who will occupy the presidency of the Andean country for the next five years, but will also serve as a thermometer to measure whether the conservative current advancing in Latin America maintains its momentum.