Survey Galicia: Rueda would expand his absolute majority and the PP would only surpass BNG and PSOE together

Alfonso Rueda would win the regional elections in Galicia again with an absolute majority and could even expand the result achieved by the PP in February 2024, according to the Sigma Dos survey for El Mundo.

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The poll places the Galician PP at 47.5% of the votes and a range of between 40 and 42 seats. The absolute majority in the Parliament of Galicia is set at 38 deputies, so Rueda would maintain enough margin to govern alone.

The political key of the survey is not only in the continuity of the PP at the head of the Xunta, but in the distance from the opposition. The BNG and the PSdeG would together sum between 32 and 35 representatives, below the popular range. In the most favorable scenario for Rueda, the PP would have more seats on its own than the entire parliamentary left.

The PP would retain the absolute majority

The PP would obtain 47.5% of the votes, one tenth more than in the 2024 regional elections.

This percentage would translate into a range of between 40 and 42 seats. In the worst scenario for the popular, Rueda would repeat the current 40 deputies. In the best, he would add two more representatives.

The survey thus confirms the strength of the PP in Galicia, a community where the popular govern with an absolute majority and where Vox still has not entered the regional Parliament.

The most relevant data is that the PP would not depend on any partner. Unlike other territories where the party needs to negotiate with Vox, in Galicia Rueda would maintain a sufficient majority to form a Government alone.

Rueda would have more seats than BNG and PSOE combined

The left opposition would not reach the PP even by adding the BNG and the PSdeG.

The BNG would obtain between 22 and 25 seats. The PSdeG would reach 10. Together they would reach a range of between 32 and 35 deputies.

This would leave the left bloc between five and 10 seats below the PP, depending on the specific scenario within the ranges.

The BNG retreats after its historical maximum

The BNG would remain the second political force in Galicia, but would lose part of the momentum gained in the 2024 elections.

The formation of Ana Pontón would go from 31.6% to 29.1% of the votes. In seats, it would move between 22 and 25 deputies.

The margin is relevant. At the high end, the BNG would retain the current 25 seats. At the low end, it would lose three representatives.

Even so, even in its most adverse scenario, the BNG would maintain more than double the deputies than the PSdeG and would continue to be consolidated as the first force of the opposition.

The PSdeG would remain third

The PSdeG would not take advantage of the BNG's retreat to regain centrality in the Galician left.

The formation led by José Ramón Gómez Besteiro would obtain 13.8% of the votes, two tenths less than in the 2024 regional elections.

However, the provincial distribution would allow it to reach 10 seats, one more than now. This parliamentary advance would not be accompanied by an improvement in the percentage of votes.

The Galician PSOE does not capitalize on nationalist weariness

One of the most significant elements of the survey is that the decline of the BNG does not translate into a clear recovery for the PSdeG.

The BNG loses 2.5 points compared to the last regional elections. The PSdeG also drops, although only two tenths.

Therefore, the nationalist weariness does not seem to be directly shifting towards the socialists. The opposition remains organized around the BNG, while the PSdeG remains in a secondary position.

This limits any possibility of an alternative. For there to be political change in Galicia, it would not be enough for the BNG to resist: the PSdeG would have to grow strongly, and the survey does not reflect that movement.

Vox rises, but would still be outside the Galician Parliament

Vox would be one of the formations that would grow the most in percentage of votes, but would not obtain representation.

The party would go from the 2.2% achieved in 2024 to 3.5%. Even so, it would still be outside the Parliament of Galicia.

Galicia would thus maintain a political singularity within the regional map: it continues to be the only community where Vox has not managed to enter the regional Chamber. In 2024, the formation was left without representation, just like Sumar and Podemos.

The growth of Vox would not compromise the PP's majority either. The survey places Rueda above the absolute majority without the need for external support.

Sumar would also not return to the Chamber

Sumar would remain without representation in the Galician Parliament.

The coalition would barely advance one tenth, from 1.9% to 2%, and would be far from obtaining a seat.

The data confirms the difficulties of the space to the left of the PSdeG in Galicia. In 2016, the brand En Marea competed for the second position; now, that space remains outside the Chamber.

The weakness of Sumar also reinforces the concentration of progressive votes between BNG and PSdeG, although that concentration is not enough to contest the PP's majority.

Democracia Ourensana would risk its seat

Democracia Ourensana also appears in a delicate position.

The local party that managed to enter the Galician Parliament for the first time in 2024 would drop from 1% to 0.7%.

Its continuity would depend on the distribution in Ourense, where it obtained its current deputy. The survey indicates that it could lose weight, although the behavior of local formations usually depends a lot on the province and the level of territorial mobilization.

The PP has the most solid electoral base

The survey also shows clear differences in vote loyalty.

The PP would retain 88.3% of those who voted for Alfonso Rueda in the 2024 elections. This is the highest loyalty figure among the main formations.

The BNG would retain 76.4% of its voters. The PSdeG, on the other hand, would retain only 63.2%.

This difference helps explain the stability of the PP and the difficulty of the PSdeG in regaining ground. Rueda retains almost intact his base, while the opposition has greater leaks and less capacity for growth.

The Xunta maintains a positive evaluation

The advantage of the PP is not limited to the electoral estimate.

According to Sigma Dos, 57.8% of those surveyed support the management of the Xunta.

Rueda is also the only one of the main Galician leaders who approves in average evaluation. He obtains a 5.5, ahead of Ana Pontón, with a 4.4, and José Ramón Gómez Besteiro, with a 3.8.

81.8% considers Rueda's continuity a given

The expectation of government also clearly favors the PP.

81.8% of those surveyed believe that Alfonso Rueda will continue at the head of the Xunta. Only 8.9% bet on Ana Pontón as the future Galician president. The percentage that sees Besteiro at the head of the regional government drops to 1.4%.

The distance in victory expectation is even greater than that recorded in voting intention. The survey not only attributes an advantage to the PP but also reflects a widely held social perception that Rueda will continue governing.

Source: Sigma Dos for El Mundo (24/07/2026)

Result of the Sigma Dos Galicia survey

Party Estimated vote Estimated seats
PP 47.5% 40-42
BNG 29.1% 22-25
PSdeG-PSOE 13.8% 10
Vox 3.5% 0
Sumar 2.0% 0

More key points, information and questions with FREN

AI-GENERATED CONTENT

What phase is the parliamentary process for government formation in Galicia after the 2024 regional elections currently in?

The parliamentary process for government formation in Galicia after the 2024 regional elections has been completely closed since April 2024. The Parliament of Galicia held the investiture debate and elected Alfonso Rueda as president of the Xunta, who took office a few days later and proceeded to appoint his Government. As of July 25, 2026, Galicia is already in a phase of ordinary functioning of the legislature, with a fully operational Executive and a Parliament focused on its oversight and legislative production work.

From the elections to the investiture

After the 2024 regional elections, the new Parliament of Galicia was constituted and its Board was elected, which formally allowed the investiture procedure to begin, in accordance with the Statute of Autonomy and the Chamber's Rules (available through the Parliament of Galicia website).

The Presidency of the Parliament proposed Alfonso Rueda, leader of the PPdeG and head of the majority force, as candidate for the Presidency of the Xunta. With that proposal, the investiture plenary was convened.

According to the official note from the Xunta, in the second session of the investiture debate, on April 11, 2024, “the Parliament of Galicia has elected Alfonso Rueda as president of the Xunta” (Xunta note on the election). With that vote, the strictly parliamentary phase of the president's designation was completed.

Swearing-in and closing of the investiture procedure

After the vote in Parliament, the next step was the formal appointment as president of the Xunta by royal decree of the King and its publication in the BOE and the Official Gazette of Galicia (DOG). Institutionally, this milestone is visualized in the swearing-in ceremony, held on April 13, 2024, whose full speech is recorded in the swearing-in speech.

At that moment, the core of the investiture procedure can be considered concluded: Parliament has already granted its confidence and the candidate has formally assumed the office of president.

Formation of the Galician Government

The final stage of the government formation process was the appointment of the rest of the Consello da Xunta. According to the official note of April 14, 2024, “the president of the Xunta, Alfonso Rueda Valenzuela, signed today the decree appointing the members of the Executive” (appointment of the Galician Government), which details the list of ministries and their holders.

These decrees are published in the DOG, which acts as the official bulletin of the autonomous community, where all appointments and dismissals can be consulted (Official Gazette of Galicia).

With the publication of these appointments, the new autonomous Government resulting from the 2024 elections was fully formed. Since then, the Xunta has been acting in full capacity, no longer bound to any “caretaker government” regime associated with the electoral cycle.

Current situation (July 2026)

As of today, the investiture and government formation phase of 2024 is a completely concluded process and situated in the past of the legislature. The information available in media and subsequent political analyses reinforces the idea of a stable legislature in Galicia, with the PP maintaining the absolute majority won in 2024, as reflected in various subsequent polls cited by the newspaper Demócrata.

Demócrata's own coverage of other investiture processes in Spain recalls that Feijóo, for example, attended Alfonso Rueda's swearing-in in 2024, as part of the national projection of Galician leadership, within a chronicle about internal dynamics of the PP in other communities (Demócrata chronicle).

In summary, regarding the specific question:

  • The parliamentary investiture phase ended on April 11, 2024, with the election of Alfonso Rueda as president of the Xunta.
  • The institutional swearing-in phase took place on April 13, 2024.
  • The complete formation of the Government was closed with the appointment of conselleiros on April 14, 2024.

Therefore, from the parliamentary procedure perspective, there is no longer any “open” phase of government formation derived from the 2024 regional elections; what exists is an ongoing legislature, with the usual dynamics of government and opposition in the Parliament of Galicia.

On what exact dates was the Parliament of Galicia constituted after the 2024 regional elections and how was the Board distributed? What is the detailed composition (ministries and holders) of the Galician Government resulting from the 2024 elections? What parliamentary majority did the PP obtain in Galicia in 2024 and what margin do the other groups have to articulate an alternative?

What are the legal competencies of the President of the Xunta de Galicia according to the Statute of Autonomy?

The Statute of Autonomy for Galicia assigns the President of the Xunta a set of functions that combine the leadership of the autonomous Government with the institutional representation of Galicia and the State in the Community. According to the statutory text, the President directs and coordinates the action of the Xunta, promulgates Galician laws in the name of the King, and holds both the representation of the Autonomous Community and the ordinary representation of the State in Galicia. He is elected by the Galician Parliament from among its members, appointed by the King, and is politically responsible before the Chamber.

Institutional position of the President

The Statute establishes that the powers of the Autonomous Community are exercised through the Parliament, the Xunta, and its President, thus configuring the President as one of Galicia's basic institutions. Within this institutional framework, the President exercises a dual representation:

  • Representation of Galicia: he holds the representation of the Autonomous Community in its relations with other institutions and third parties.
  • Ordinary representation of the State in Galicia: he acts as the ordinary representative of the State in Galician territory, under the terms set by the Statute itself.

Government functions and relationship with the Xunta

Within the internal scope of the autonomous Executive, the Statute clearly defines the President's role regarding the Xunta de Galicia:

  • Direction and coordination of the Government: “the President directs and coordinates the action of the Xunta,” placing him as head of the collegiate government body.
  • Appointment and dismissal of Government members: the vice presidents and conselleiros of the Xunta “shall be appointed and dismissed by the President,” giving him decisive control over the Executive's composition.
  • Joint political responsibility: although the Xunta is politically responsible jointly before the Parliament, the President assumes a singular responsibility, as the Statute specifically provides for his political responsibility before the Chamber.

Additionally, the Statute itself refers to a Galician law to determine in greater detail the “personal statute and powers of the President,” allowing the development and specification of his competencies in ordinary autonomous legislation.

Normative competencies and relationship with the Parliament

The link with the Galician Parliament is central in defining the President's competencies:

  • Promulgation of Galician laws: Galician laws “shall be promulgated in the name of the King by the President of the Xunta” and published in the Official Gazette of Galicia and the Official State Bulletin. This promulgation is a key act, as it gives final effectiveness to autonomous norms.
  • Parliamentary election: the President is elected by the Parliament of Galicia from among its members. The candidate presents his program before the Plenary and, to be elected, must obtain:
    • Absolute majority in the first vote; or
    • Simple majority in a second vote, twenty-four hours later, if the absolute majority is not achieved.
    If the necessary majority is not obtained, successive proposals are processed in the same manner.
  • Political responsibility before the Chamber: the Statute indicates that “the President of the Xunta shall be politically responsible before the Parliament,” and a Galician law must specify the scope of this responsibility (motions of censure, vote of confidence, etc.).

Appointment, dismissal, and guarantees

The statutory procedure completes the President's position with rules on his appointment, dismissal, and legal-penal situation:

  • Appointment by the King: once elected by Parliament, the President of the Xunta is formally appointed by the King, consistent with the organic law character of the Statute.
  • Causes for dismissal of the Xunta linked to the President: the Xunta ceases, among other cases, “in cases of loss of parliamentary confidence, resignation, and death of its President.” Resignation or loss of confidence in the President therefore leads to the dismissal of the entire Government.
  • Caretaker government: in these cases, the outgoing Xunta continues in office until the new Xunta takes office, with a caretaker President whose scope is limited according to development legislation.
  • Immunity and criminal protection regime: the Statute establishes that the President and other members of the Xunta cannot be arrested or detained for criminal acts committed in Galicia, except in cases of flagrante delicto. Decisions on their indictment, imprisonment, prosecution, and trial correspond to the Superior Court of Justice of Galicia, and outside Galicia, to the Criminal Chamber of the Supreme Court.

Normative reference

All these competencies and functions are found in Organic Law 1/1981, of April 6, Statute of Autonomy for Galicia, published in the Official State Bulletin, accessible in this text of the Statute of Galicia.

What differences exist between the competencies of the President of the Xunta and those of a president of another autonomous community, according to their respective statutes? How is the ordinary representation of the State in Galicia, held by the President of the Xunta, practically articulated in relation to the role of the Government delegate? What specific mechanisms does the Parliament of Galicia have to demand political responsibility from the President of the Xunta according to the Statute and its development legislation?

What political career and positions has Alfonso Rueda held before becoming president of the Xunta?

Alfonso Rueda arrives at the Presidency of the Xunta after a career closely linked from a very young age to the Galician PP and the autonomous Administration, where he climbed from technical and local positions to occupy the General Secretariat of the PPdeG and, later, the Consellería de Presidencia in Alberto Núñez Feijóo's governments. Before becoming president, he combined top internal party positions with executive responsibilities in the Xunta, especially in the area of local administration and political coordination of the Galician Government. He also gained experience in municipal administration as secretary in Cambados, which strengthened his profile as a manager of the PP's territorial power in Galicia. From these steps, he consolidated his position as Feijóo's number two, which explains why he was the natural successor when Feijóo moved to national politics.

Early steps and link with the Galician PP

According to the report by the newspaper Demócrata on the evolution of the PPdeG, Rueda joined the party through Novas Xeracións, the popular youth organization in Galicia. That same article explains that about twenty years ago (around the mid-2000s) he already knew the party “thoroughly” and was part of the core that advocated internal renewal in the post-Manuel Fraga stage, when the PP had lost the Xunta and was going through what some leaders describe as a “desert crossing.” This internal trajectory in the PPdeG is detailed in this Demócrata analysis.

Career in the autonomous and local Administration

Before becoming a visible political reference, Rueda developed a technical and managerial career in the Galician Administration. The same Demócrata report indicates that, before 2006, he had “passed through the autonomous Administration as a mid-level official under Jesús Palmou,” then number two of the PPdeG and conselleiro of Justice in Fraga's governments. In that context, Rueda worked with Palmou in his cabinet and became director general of local Administration, a key position for the Xunta's relationship with municipalities.

At the same time, the article highlights that in that stage Rueda served as municipal secretary in Cambados, which reinforced his knowledge of the Galician local world and municipal power, one of the axes of territorial implantation of the PPdeG. This experience in local and autonomous administration forms the core of his managerial profile before making the leap to the party's front political line.

Secretary General of the PPdeG and Feijóo's number two

Alfonso Rueda's big political leap occurred in 2006, at the congress where Alberto Núñez Feijóo assumed leadership of the Galician PP. According to the account of that process in Demócrata, Feijóo asked Jesús Palmou for advice to choose his number two and the operation ended in a “direct transfer between secretaries general”: Rueda accepted to be secretary general of the PPdeG and became the main collaborator of the new leader.

In Rueda's own words, collected in that same report, he accepted the position because he understood it was a moment when “very few people believed it was worth betting” on that project, and that his decision was “almost a matter of commitment and personal bet.” Since then, Rueda has acted as the organizational architect of the PPdeG, responsible for “stitching” the party and maintaining internal unity during the years of opposition and in the subsequent recovery of the Xunta in 2009.

Conselleiro de Presidencia in Feijóo's governments

After the absolute majority of 2009, Rueda took the next step: entering the Galician Government. Although the sources consulted do not detail all portfolio changes, they do confirm that he was conselleiro de Presidencia in the governments presided over by Feijóo. A Demócrata report on the conviction of a former high-ranking autonomous official recalls that, between 2009 and 2013, Norberto Uzal was director general of local Administration “during his management in the Xunta, Feijóo was president and Alfonso Rueda was conselleiro de Presidencia,” as recorded in this piece.

The Consellería de Presidencia is the department that traditionally coordinates the Government's action, relations with other administrations, and much of the Xunta's institutional architecture. That position placed Rueda in the core of Galician autonomous power, consolidating his managerial profile and his role as Feijóo's right hand, halfway between the party and the Executive.

Bridge to the Presidency of the Xunta

When Feijóo moved to national politics, Rueda's previous accumulation of responsibilities — general management, Secretary General of the PPdeG, and Consellería de Presidencia — made him the natural successor at the head of the Xunta. The official Xunta note on his election limits itself to recording the investiture, without detailing all his previous positions in that piece, but the set of information from Demócrata and the administration itself draws a clear itinerary: from mid-level cadres of the administration and party to organizational strategist of the PPdeG and, finally, to key conselleiro in Feijóo's governments, before assuming the Presidency in 2024.

No more detailed information is available in the consulted sources about other possible intermediate positions (for example, specific stages as vice president of the Xunta or specific functions in Parliament) prior to his appointment as president; the clear image is that of a long career, closely linked to the structure of the Galician PP and the management of the Xunta's institutional apparatus.

At what moment and under what exact circumstances was he designated as Feijóo's successor at the head of the Xunta? What role did Alfonso Rueda have as conselleiro de Presidencia in the main political conflicts of Feijóo's era? How is the PPdeG structured today under Rueda's leadership and what organizational differences exist compared to Feijóo's era?

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