OPEC+ agrees to increase oil production by 188,000 barrels per day starting in June

The energy alliance led by Saudi Arabia and Russia reinforces its progressive adjustment strategy to stabilize the global market

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FILED - 09 December 2023, United Arab Emirates, Dubai: A view of the OPEC pavilion on the COP28 grounds. Photo: Hannes P Albert/dpa Hannes P Albert/dpa

FILED - 09 December 2023, United Arab Emirates, Dubai: A view of the OPEC pavilion on the COP28 grounds. Photo: Hannes P Albert/dpa Hannes P Albert/dpa

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OPEC+ has decided to turn the oil tap back on. The alliance, which brings together the main crude oil exporting countries with partners like Russia, announced this Sunday an increase in production of 188,000 barrels per day starting in June, in a decision that seeks to balance the international energy market.

The agreement has been reached in a remote meeting in which representatives of seven of the group's main producers participated. In the official statement, the organization emphasizes that this increase is part of a “voluntary adjustment” aimed at ensuring price stability and avoiding tensions in global supply.

A strategy of progressive increases

This new increase is added to the one announced in April, when OPEC+ already agreed to raise production by 206,000 barrels per day. With both decisions, the alliance consolidates a strategy of gradual supply normalization, after months of restrictions aimed at sustaining crude oil prices.

The movement reflects a delicate balance: increasing supply without causing a sharp drop in prices, in a context marked by geopolitical uncertainty and the evolution of global demand.

The energy market, between war and demand

The decision comes at a particularly sensitive time for the oil market. Tensions in the Middle East, the conflict in Ukraine, and doubts about global economic growth are conditioning both supply and demand.

Furthermore, factors such as the situation in the Strait of Hormuz or international sanctions on certain producers continue to influence crude oil volatility.

Saudi Arabia and Russia set the pace

Within OPEC+, Saudi Arabia and Russia continue to be the key players in decision-making. Both countries have led a policy of cuts and adjustments in recent months that has allowed the barrel price to be maintained at relatively stable levels.

This new increase points to a different phase: avoiding supply tensions without losing control over the market.

Impact on Europe and Spain

For importing economies like the European ones, the move can have direct effects on the price of fuels and inflation. An increase in production tends, in theory, to contain prices, although its impact will depend on how demand evolves and on geopolitical factors.

In the case of Spain, where the energy cost remains a key variable, any decision by OPEC+ translates into consequences on the price of gasoline, transportation, and the cost of living.

A message to control the market

With this announcement, OPEC+ sends a clear message: the alliance maintains control over global supply and is willing to intervene in a coordinated manner to avoid imbalances.

The increase of 188,000 barrels per day is not massive, but it is significant. It is part of a broader strategy in which the objective is not only to produce more, but to manage the pace of the global energy market.