The Democratic senator Mark Warner has secured re-election in Virginia, according to the projection of Associated Press (AP), which has awarded him victory immediately after the closing of the polling stations in the state. The result guarantees Democrats the continuity of one of their most veteran representatives in the U.S. Senate.
Warner has defeated the Republican Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army general and veteran of the Afghanistan war. The AP agency has projected his victory at 7:00 p.m. on the U.S. east coast, 1:00 a.m. in the early hours in Spain.
The senator, who entered the Senate in 2009 after serving as governor of Virginia, is the leading Democratic representative on the Senate Intelligence Committee, of which he holds the vice chairmanship. His re-election allows him to keep the seat for another six years, until January 2033.
AP’s projection comes in the first hours of the vote count of the midterm elections, in which Republicans and Democrats are fighting for control of Congress and, with it, the margin of action of Donald Trump during the second half of his presidency.
Virginia consolidates its electoral transformation
Warner’s victory reflects Virginia’s political evolution, a state that for decades favored Republicans in presidential elections, but which has experienced a progressive shift toward Democrats since the beginning of the century.
Part of that change is explained by the demographic and economic growth of the northern part of the state, especially in the counties near Washington D. C., where federal employees, technology companies, and contractors linked to the U.S. Administration are concentrated.
The expansion of these urban and suburban hubs has altered the profile of the electorate and increased the weight of territories where Democrats have secured important support during the last two decades.
The high presence of federal workers has also acquired political relevance during Trump’s second term, after the personnel reduction measures driven by his Administration.
What Warner’s victory means for the Senate
Warner’s re-election allows Democrats to keep a seat that was already in their hands, so it does not, by itself, modify the balance of forces between the two parties.
Republicans began the day with a majority of 53 senators versus the 47 members of the Democratic bloc, including independents who usually vote with that party.
To regain control of the Upper House, Democrats need a net gain of four seats, provided they keep the ones they already hold. Attention is now focused on states such as North Carolina, Maine, Ohio and Texas, where victories could change the parliamentary distribution.
Associated Press’s projection does not yet equate to the official declaration of the result, which corresponds to the election authorities once the counting and certification procedures have been completed.