The first exit polls in the United States reflect an increase in rejection of the Republican Party

59% of voters express an unfavorable opinion of the Republicans, seven points more than in the 2022 elections, according to NBC News. Rejection of the Democratic Party remains around 54%

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Elecciones 29N · Encuestas

La media de las encuestas

Media a 3 de noviembre de 2026 · 17 institutos

  • PP30,4 %
  • PSOE27,4 %
  • Vox19,2 %
  • Frente Amplio6,5 %
  • ERC2,4 %
  • Podemos2,4 %
010203040ene 2024jul 2024ene 2025jul 2025ene 2026jul 2026

Media del último estudio de cada instituto en 30 días y su evolución semanal desde el 23J. Partidos con al menos un 2 %.

Todas las encuestas

Elecciones generales del 29 de noviembre · Demócrata

The first exit-poll surveys of the midterm elections in the United States reflect an increase in voter discontent with the Republican Party, which faces a decisive day to retain control of Congress during the final two years of Donald Trump’s presidency.

According to the first data released by NBC News, 59% of the voters surveyed express an unfavorable opinion of the Republicans, compared with 52% who held that perception in the 2022 midterm elections. The difference represents an increase of seven percentage points over four years.

The assessment of the Democratic Party, by contrast, shows a more stable trend. Around 54% of voters maintain a negative opinion of the group, a figure that indicates that political unease is not limited to the party that occupies the White House.

Republican wear, one of the first signs of election night

NBC News data arrive when the phased closing of the polling stations has begun and the first states have started the count. Americans are renewing all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 in the Senate, as well as electing governors in 36 states.

The increase in unfavorable views toward the Republicans points to a deterioration in the party’s image compared to 2022, although it does not on its own allow the distribution of seats to be anticipated. A political party’s approval rating does not necessarily equate to the voting intention of those who take part in the survey.

Nor does it imply that the Democrats have managed to significantly improve their own image, since more than half of those surveyed continues to express a negative opinion of them.

The final results will depend on electoral behavior in each state and district, especially in the most competitive constituencies, where small differences in votes can determine control of Congress.

The figures released by NBC News are preliminary and may be revised as the election survey is completed.

More key points, information and questions with FREN

AI-GENERATED CONTENT

In which phase of the U.S. electoral process are the final official results of the midterm elections officially published?

In the United States electoral system, including the midterm elections, the final and official results are not considered published on election night, but rather in a later phase generally called canvass and certification at the state level. This is the phase of the process in which the results are finalized, reviewed, and officially made public.

1. Election night: provisional results

On election day (the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November), the media and, in many cases, the state or local electoral authorities themselves release provisional results:

  • Votes cast in person on election day are counted first.
  • In parallel or with some delay, mail-in votes and early votes are incorporated.
  • Television networks make projections (projections, calls) based on samples and partial data.

Although in practice it is almost always known who has won many contests on the same night, these are not final official results. Many votes remain to be counted and the formal review has not yet been conducted.

2. Canvass phase: review and consolidation of results

After election day, the phase called canvass begins, which we could translate as review and consolidation of the count. This is where the official result begins to take shape:

  • Counties (or equivalent districts) review the records of each polling station, correct possible material errors, and verify that the totals match.
  • Provisional votes (for example, from people whose eligibility had to be verified) and mail-in votes received validly within deadlines are processed.
  • If state law provides, automatic recounts are conducted when the difference between candidates is very narrow.

This phase takes place in the days and weeks following election day. Each state sets in its own regulations a maximum deadline for counties to complete the local canvass and submit it to state authorities (Secretary of State or state election board).

3. State certification phase: the key moment

The publication of the final and official results of the midterm elections takes place in the state certification, which is the culmination of the canvass:

  • Once the canvass is closed in all counties, the state's electoral authority (usually the Secretary of State or a state board of elections) reviews the consolidated data.
  • When it verifies that everything is in order, it proceeds to officially certify the state's results for each election: House of Representatives, Senate, governors, state legislatures, etc.
  • This certification is formalized in resolutions, minutes, or official reports that are published on the state's institutional channels (bulletins, official websites, public records).

In practice, therefore, it can be said that the final results of the midterms are officially published in this state certification phase, not on election night. The exact timing varies from state to state but is usually between mid and late November, and even early December, depending on legal deadlines, recounts, and litigation.

4. Absence of a single “federal proclamation”

Unlike other systems, in the United States there is no single federal electoral authority that centrally publishes an “official result” of the legislative elections:

  • Each state is responsible for organizing, counting, and certifying its own results.
  • For the House of Representatives and the Senate, these state certifications are the basis on which each chamber, at the start of the new term, admits its members (which, legally, closes the circle).
  • The Federal Election Commission (FEC) mainly deals with campaign finance and other regulatory aspects, not declaring winners.

However, from a practical point of view, the results are considered “final” for public opinion and media from the moment each state certifies, except in exceptional cases of prolonged litigation or recounts.

5. Summary

In summary, in U.S. midterm elections the final and official results are published in the canvass and state certification phase. First, a thorough review of votes is conducted at the local level (county canvass), and then the state's electoral authority certifies and makes the results public, making them the official reference, without a centralized proclamation at the federal level replacing those state certifications.

What are the main powers of the Senate and the House of Representatives in the United States according to the Constitution?

The United States Constitution establishes a bicameral Congress composed of the Senate and the House of Representatives. Both chambers share the legislative function, but each has its own powers and a distinct profile that seeks to balance popular representation, state representation, and separation of powers.

House of Representatives: chamber of population representation

The House of Representatives is designed as the chamber “closest” to the citizenry. Its main features and competencies derive from this logic:

  • Origin of revenue bills: the Constitution requires that all laws for raising revenue (taxes, federal fees, etc.) originate in the House of Representatives. The Senate may amend those bills, but the initiative must come from the House.
  • Impeachment (formal accusation): the House has the exclusive power to “impeach,” that is, to bring charges against the president, vice president, and other high federal civil officers for “treason, bribery, or other high crimes and misdemeanors.” It does not decide removal but initiates the process.
  • Proportional representation by population: seats are apportioned among the states based on their population, determined by the decennial census. This makes the House reflect demographic changes and the current distribution of the population.
  • Short term and frequent political control: representatives are elected every two years. This short cycle reinforces the idea of immediate political control by the electorate and makes the House a barometer of public opinion.
  • Internal rules and strong leadership: although the Constitution does not go into detail, in practice the House operates with very strong leadership from the Speaker and the majority, and with rules that allow initiatives to be processed or blocked relatively quickly; this enhances its role as a driver of the legislative agenda.

Senate: chamber of the states and counterbalance

The Senate is conceived as a chamber of greater stability and as a forum for equal representation of the states. Its constitutional powers are in many cases more “qualitative”:

  • Ratification of international treaties: the president negotiates and signs treaties, but they only come into effect if the Senate consents by a qualified majority of two-thirds of the senators present. This gives the Senate a key role in foreign policy.
  • Confirmation of appointments: the Senate must give its “advice and consent” for numerous positions proposed by the president: Supreme Court and federal court judges, cabinet secretaries (ministers), ambassadors, and other high officials. Without Senate approval, those appointments are not final.
  • Trial in impeachment processes: once the House brings charges, the Senate acts as a court. Removal of a federal officer requires a two-thirds majority. When the president is tried, the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court presides.
  • Equal representation of the states: each state elects two senators, regardless of its population. This balances the weight of small states against large ones, compensating for the population-based logic of the House.
  • Longer terms and stability: senators have six-year terms, with one-third of the Senate renewed every two years. This smooths out abrupt changes and provides continuity to the institution.

Shared functions of Congress

Beyond exclusive powers, the Constitution assigns key powers to Congress (that is, both chambers jointly):

  • General legislative power: the approval of federal laws requires the concurrent vote of both chambers and the president's signature (or, if applicable, overriding a presidential veto by a supermajority in both chambers). No chamber can legislate alone.
  • Power of the purse: Congress controls the budget and authorizations for federal public spending. Although revenue laws must start in the House of Representatives, the Senate fully participates in the final approval of the budget and appropriations laws.
  • Oversight and control of the Executive: both chambers can create committees, request information, hold hearings, and summon government members and other officials to testify. This oversight function is not always detailed article by article but derives from their legislative and control powers.

Overall, the Constitution distributes powers so that the House of Representatives expresses the more immediate popular will and the Senate acts as a counterbalance and equal representative of the states, requiring that major federal decisions have a dual type of legitimacy.

What constitutional requirements must a candidate meet to be elected governor in the United States?

In the United States, the federal Constitution does not directly regulate the requirements to be governor of a state. Unlike the presidency or Congress, where the Constitution itself sets conditions of age, citizenship, and residency, the office of governor is almost entirely left to the regulations of each state. However, there are some substantive limits derived from the federal Constitution that all states must respect when designing their own requirements.

1. Absence of specific federal requirements

The United States Constitution does not have an article that says “to be governor requires…”. The office of governor belongs to the internal organization of each state, and the Tenth Amendment reserves to the states powers not delegated to the federal government. Therefore, formal requirements (minimum age, place of birth, length of residency, etc.) are set in state constitutions and laws.

As a result, there are significant differences between states. For example, some require a minimum age of 25, others 30, and some only require being a qualified elector (which in practice usually means being at least 18 years old and meeting the state's voting rules). Likewise, the duration of prior residency in the state (or even in the district) varies by location.

2. Federal constitutional limits that do apply

Although there is no “governor article” in the federal Constitution, it does establish certain principles that condition what states can require:

  • Prohibition of unconstitutional discrimination. States cannot set requirements that violate amendments on equality and fundamental rights. For example, they cannot exclude candidates based on race (Fourteenth and Fifteenth Amendments) or sex (Nineteenth Amendment), nor for religious reasons (First Amendment, religious freedom clause, and the prohibition of “religious tests” as a requirement for public office interpreted together with equality guarantees).
  • Respect for the right to vote and democratic representation. Although states have broad discretion, their eligibility rules cannot nullify voters' right to choose their governors. Disproportionate or arbitrary requirements could be challenged as violating the Equal Protection Clause of the Fourteenth Amendment.
  • Compatibility with other federal rules. Certain incompatibilities derive from the constitutional text itself. For example, Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment prohibits holding public office (including state offices) for those who, having sworn the U.S. Constitution, have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the country, unless Congress removes that disability.

3. Typical requirements established by state constitutions

Although they are matters of state law, a summary can be made of the most common criteria that, in any case, must be compatible with the federal Constitution:

  • U.S. citizenship. Practically all states require the governor to be a U.S. citizen. Some specify that the candidate must be a “natural citizen” of the state or have acquired citizenship some time before, but they cannot require being a “natural-born citizen” of the U.S. for this office, since the Constitution reserves that requirement only for the presidency.
  • Minimum age. Usually ranges between 25 and 30 years, depending on the state. The reasoning is similar to federal offices: to guarantee a certain maturity and experience, although the exact threshold is set by each state constitution.
  • Residency in the state. Most states require that the candidate has resided in the state for a prior period, which can range from a few years to a decade. This requirement seeks to ensure the governor knows the reality of the territory they will serve.
  • Registration as a voter. In many states, being a qualified elector in the state is required, which implies meeting voting requirements (age, citizenship, not being disqualified due to certain convictions, etc.).
  • Absence of certain disqualifications. Some states prohibit candidacy for persons convicted of certain serious crimes (felonies) while they have not regained their civil rights, or for those holding incompatible offices simultaneously.

4. Summary

In sum, the United States Constitution does not directly set the requirements to be governor, but it does establish the general framework: it prohibits discriminatory or arbitrary requirements, prevents certain individuals (such as those who have participated in an insurrection) from holding public office, and requires that state rules respect fundamental rights and the democratic principle. Within those limits, each state establishes in its own constitution and laws the specific requirements of age, citizenship, residency, and eligibility for the office of governor.

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What is the percentage of unfavorable opinions about the Republican Party according to the first exit polls?

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