The first exit-poll surveys of the midterm elections in the United States reflect an increase in voter discontent with the Republican Party, which faces a decisive day to retain control of Congress during the final two years of Donald Trump’s presidency.
According to the first data released by NBC News, 59% of the voters surveyed express an unfavorable opinion of the Republicans, compared with 52% who held that perception in the 2022 midterm elections. The difference represents an increase of seven percentage points over four years.
The assessment of the Democratic Party, by contrast, shows a more stable trend. Around 54% of voters maintain a negative opinion of the group, a figure that indicates that political unease is not limited to the party that occupies the White House.
Republican wear, one of the first signs of election night
NBC News data arrive when the phased closing of the polling stations has begun and the first states have started the count. Americans are renewing all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 in the Senate, as well as electing governors in 36 states.
The increase in unfavorable views toward the Republicans points to a deterioration in the party’s image compared to 2022, although it does not on its own allow the distribution of seats to be anticipated. A political party’s approval rating does not necessarily equate to the voting intention of those who take part in the survey.
Nor does it imply that the Democrats have managed to significantly improve their own image, since more than half of those surveyed continues to express a negative opinion of them.
The final results will depend on electoral behavior in each state and district, especially in the most competitive constituencies, where small differences in votes can determine control of Congress.
The figures released by NBC News are preliminary and may be revised as the election survey is completed.