Sánchez predicts a historic result for the PSOE on 29N: "We are going to win the party"

Pedro Sánchez predicts a historic result for the PSOE in the elections of 29N and positions mobilization as a condition for making up lost ground. In an interview with La Vanguardia, the president of the Government draws on the precedent of 2023 and on the results of Brazil and the United States to argue that he can continue in La Moncloa. He also says that it would not keep him up at night to share government with Ada Colau.

EuropaPress 7898450 presidente gobierno secretario general psoe pedro sanchez cabeza lista

EuropaPress 7898450 presidente gobierno secretario general psoe pedro sanchez cabeza lista

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Elecciones 29N · Encuestas

La media de las encuestas

Media a 7 de noviembre de 2026 · 11 institutos

  • PP31,0 %
  • PSOE26,2 %
  • Vox19,5 %
  • Frente Amplio6,6 %
  • ERC2,4 %
  • SALF2,2 %
  • Podemos2,1 %
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Media del último estudio de cada instituto en 30 días y su evolución semanal desde el 23J. Partidos con al menos un 2 %.

Todas las encuestas

Elecciones generales del 29 de noviembre · Demócrata

Pedro Sánchez faces the elections of 29N with a forecast that contrasts with the scenario of advantage for the righta que le plantean sus entrevistadores en La Vanguardia. The President of the Government assures that the PSOE will obtain a historic result, although he conditions victory on his potential voters going to the polls.

"We are going to win the party, but it is not won yet," he declares in the interview with Jordi Juan and Juan Carlos Merino. His response concentrates the electoral message he wants to convey: confidence in the comeback and a warning against abstention.

A historic result, but without specifying how many seats

"I am convinced that the PSOE will get a historic result with an enhanced majority," Sánchez says in La Vanguardia.

The expression is not accompanied by a parliamentary threshold. The president does not clarify what result he considers historic nor does he specify whether he refers to the advance of the PSOE, the strength of the whole of its possible allies, or the majority needed for a new investiture.

His stated priority is to prevent voters from taking the outcome for granted. He accuses the PP and Vox of seeking demobilization and presents participation as the variable that can alter the result.

"To win it, we need the mobilization of the citizens," he holds. That call occupies more space in his responses than any calculation about the future distribution of deputies.

Brazil, the United States and 2023: the precedents of his comeback

In the interview, Sánchez uses the electoral results of Brazil and the United States as arguments to counter the idea that the advance of the right is irreversible.

His interpretation is that, when citizens are mobilized, the forces he identifies with the expansion of rights can prevail. He adds the Spanish precedent of 2023 to that comparison and projects the same outcome onto 29N.

"That happened in 2023, it has happened in Brazil, it has happened in the United States and it will happen also in Spain," he declares to La Vanguardia.

The comparison expresses his reading of those processes, not a polling equivalence between countries. Sánchez uses it to argue that the climate prior to an election does not by itself determine what will happen when the ballot boxes open.

He also states that the political wave to which he links Feijóo and Abascal is weakening. His campaign will seek to transfer that international interpretation to a domestic election about public services, rights, and the economic model.

Ada Colau as vice president: Sánchez accepts the coalition scenario

The outlook of a strengthened PSOE coexists with its willingness to share the Executive again. Asked whether he would lose sleep over having Ada Colau as vice president, Sánchez replies that he would not.

"I have always understood the need for the lefts to understand each other, for there to be coalition governments," he explains in La Vanguardia.

Urda and Puente’s exit: he rejects an electoral explanation

The interview also examines the impact of the Urda accident and of Óscar Puente’s resignation on the campaign. Sánchez denies feeling betrayed by the former minister and maintains that his resignation has dignified politics.

When the journalists suggest to him that this exit allows the PSOE to reactivate its campaign, he rejects presenting it as an electoral operation: "We didn’t do it in that key."

He defends the sequence followed by Puente: adopting measures for those affected, appearing before the Cortes, and proposing actions on security before leaving office.

The president tries to place the electoral discussion in the response of the public authorities to crises. Against the PP and Vox, he asserts social protection as the element that differentiates his project.

Housing and general strike: recovering the issue that motivated the early election

Sánchez also tries to put housing back at the center of the debate. In La Vanguardia, he defines the general strike as a mobilization in favor of solving that problem and calls for responses from all administrations.

Regarding Junts, he points out that the debate should focus on the use it makes of its deputies in Congress. He recognizes agreements during the legislature, but reproaches it for having aligned itself with the right on housing.

That relationship remains among the unknowns of a possible new term. The interview does not offer a concrete tally of supports for the investiture nor does it detail pacts after 29N. Sánchez concentrates his message on strengthening the PSOE and leaves the composition of the majority pending the polls.

More key points, information and questions with FREN

AI-GENERATED CONTENT

What is the status of the possible coalition process between the PSOE and other parties after November 29?

As of November 8, 2026, there is no post-election coalition of the PSOE finalized nor an investiture negotiation underway after November 29: the November 29 elections have not yet taken place. What exists are prior electoral agreements and statements about possible future understandings. Therefore, it is necessary to distinguish between the already agreed candidacies and a potential agreement to form a Government.

The concrete agreement: Senate candidacies

The PSOE and Frente Amplio reached an agreement on October 16 to run joint lists for the Senate, aiming to contest the absolute majority in that Chamber against the PP. The alliance includes Izquierda Unida, Movimiento Sumar, Más Madrid, Compromís, Chunta Aragonesista, and Batzarre, along with the socialists. It is a pact to run in the elections, not a closed commitment on the composition of the next Executive. (Demócrata, October 16)

María Jesús Montero endorsed this agreement on November 5 and expressed the intention that Pedro Sánchez continue leading the Government. However, her statements did not announce a joint government program, a distribution of ministries, or parliamentary support commitments after the elections. (Montero's statements)

The Congress: different candidacies, no closed government pact

Frente Amplio and Podemos have not reached a unitary candidacy nationwide: agreements to run together for the Congress are concentrated in the Canary Islands and the Valencian Community, while in many constituencies they run separately. This electoral configuration does not allow assuming a future coalition with the PSOE. (Map of electoral alliances)

Podemos also maintains a differentiated position regarding the Senate pact. Irene Montero criticized on November 6 that Frente Amplio preferred to pact with the PSOE and claimed Podemos' collaboration with ERC and EH Bildu. These are pre-voting positions, not confirmation of a post-election agreement. (Irene Montero's position)

Other possible supports: open but not committed
  • Junts: Miriam Nogueras has shown willingness to dialogue with the PSOE after November 29 if Catalonia is at the center of the negotiation. This openness does not equate to committed support for Sánchez nor acceptance of joining a coalition Government. (Nogueras, November 6)
  • Coalición Canaria: Cristina Valido has indicated she could reach an agreement with the PSOE or with the PP, depending on the seats and commitments to the Canary Islands. She has also expressly differentiated supporting an investiture from making pacts with all parties backing the same candidate. (Valido, November 5)
What this means for the possible coalition

The current state is electoral preparation and scenario opening, not formalization of a government coalition. The consulted sources do not show a signed post-election agreement bringing together the PSOE and other formations, nor a common program or distribution of responsibilities for the next Executive.

After November 29, the results will allow knowing which combinations of support are possible. Until then, it is advisable to separate three issues: running together in the elections, backing the investiture of a candidate, and sharing Government. The Senate pact confirms the first; statements about future understandings do not yet confirm the other two.

What are Pedro Sánchez's competencies and political trajectory as president of the Government?

Pedro Sánchez has been president of the Government since June 2, 2018, when he took office after the successful motion of no confidence against Mariano Rajoy. His competencies consist of directing the Executive and coordinating his ministers; his trajectory combines leadership of the PSOE, parliamentary activity, and presidency of governments supported by agreements among different formations.

Competencies as president of the Government

It is important to distinguish between the powers of the president and those of the Government as a whole. The president directs and coordinates; the Council of Ministers collectively adopts numerous decisions. Also, the Presidency of the Government is not the Head of State, which corresponds to the king.

  • Political direction: sets the Executive's priorities and coordinates their implementation. The Government directs domestic and foreign policy, the civil and military Administration, and the defense of the State.
  • Executive organization: proposes to the king the appointment and dismissal of vice presidents and ministers. Calls and presides over the Council of Ministers and sets its agenda.
  • Representation: represents the Government and leads its political dialogue with other institutions and governments, including its participation at the European and international level.
  • Relation with the Congress: can raise a vote of confidence, through which it requests the Chamber to confirm its political support.
  • Elections and consultations: can propose to the king the dissolution of the Cortes, after deliberation by the Council of Ministers and within constitutional limits. Consultative referendums require prior authorization from the Congress.
  • Constitutional defense: can file appeals of unconstitutionality against norms with the rank of law.

These powers do not allow him to approve ordinary laws alone: that function corresponds to the Cortes Generales. Nor do they eliminate the responsibility of each minister. Institutional information about his office can be consulted at the Transparency Portal.

Trajectory before the Presidency

Born in Madrid in 1972, Sánchez is an economist and holds a PhD in Economics. Before consolidating his national career, he worked as an advisor in the European Parliament and in the cabinet of the High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina. He was a councilor of the Madrid City Council between 2004 and 2009 and entered the Congress in 2009. His official biography records these backgrounds.

In 2014 he was elected secretary general of the PSOE. He was a candidate for the Presidency in the 2015 and 2016 elections, but his 2016 investiture attempt, after an agreement with Ciudadanos, did not gather enough support. He left the socialist leadership in October that year and later his seat. In 2017 he regained party leadership through primaries, according to the profile published by EFE.

Stages leading the Government

  • 2018-2019: the motion of no confidence approved on June 1, 2018, allowed his arrival at the Presidency. His first Executive governed in minority. The rejection of his budgets preceded the April 2019 elections; the lack of investiture agreement led to the November repeat election.
  • 2020-2023: he was invested on January 7, 2020, and presided over a coalition between PSOE and Unidas Podemos. The COVID-19 pandemic and its economic consequences marked this stage, followed by the energy crisis and inflation linked to the Russian invasion of Ukraine. La Moncloa documents the composition of that Government.
  • Since November 2023: he was invested again on the 16th and formed a coalition Government between PSOE and Sumar. His continuity required parliamentary agreements with other formations. His appointment was published in the Official State Gazette of November 17.

Overall, his path shows the difference between institutional competence and political capacity: he has the powers of any president, but to develop his program he needs Government decisions and, when appropriate, parliamentary support.

What results did the PSOE and other parties obtain in the last general elections and how many deputies does each group have in the Congress?

The last general elections held were on July 23, 2023: the PSOE obtained 121 deputies and came second, behind the PP, which obtained 137. The elections called for November 29, 2026, have not yet taken place. It is important to distinguish between the seats obtained by each candidacy and the subsequent composition of parliamentary groups, which can change during the legislature.

Results of the last general elections

The final distribution of the 350 seats in the Congress among the candidacies that obtained representation was as follows:

  • PP: 137 deputies. It was the candidacy with the most seats and the most voted.
  • PSOE: 121 deputies. The socialist result includes the PSC and associated candidacies integrated into its electoral total.
  • Vox: 33 deputies. It was the third candidacy by number of representatives.
  • Sumar: 31 deputies. This result corresponds to the joint candidacy of 2023, in which Podemos also participated.
  • ERC: 7 deputies. It obtained the same representation as Junts.
  • Junts per Catalunya: 7 deputies.
  • EH Bildu: 6 deputies.
  • PNV: 5 deputies.
  • BNG: 1 deputy.
  • Coalición Canaria: 1 deputy.
  • UPN: 1 deputy.

These eleven candidacies summed the 350 elected representatives. The distribution of the first four —PP, PSOE, Vox, and Sumar— is also recorded in the Demócrata electoral comparison. To consult the full set of candidacies, see the electoral results special.

What result did the PSOE specifically obtain?

The final count attributed to the PSOE 7,821,718 votes, 31.68%, and 121 seats. This was 1,029,519 votes and one deputy more than in the November 2019 elections, when it obtained 120 representatives. Despite this increase, it was behind the PP in the 2023 call (Demócrata, Sánchez results).

To correctly interpret the figures, votes, percentage, and seats must be separated. Deputies are distributed by constituencies: the national percentage does not directly convert into an equivalent number of representatives. That is why a candidacy can increase its votes without achieving a proportional increase in seats.

Parties and parliamentary groups are not the same

The above results do not automatically equate to the final composition of the groups. A party can be integrated into the Mixed Group; an electoral candidacy can bring together several organizations; and its deputies can change affiliation during the legislature.

An example documented is Podemos: it ran within Sumar in 2023, but its five deputies already appeared separated from that group in December of that year. At that time, the Mixed Group also included BNG, Coalición Canaria, and UPN. That historical snapshot should not be presented as the current composition (Demócrata, parliamentary arithmetic).

An updated verified composition of all groups that allows giving their number of members without confusing it with the electoral result has not been obtained. Therefore, the numbers in the list correspond to how many seats each candidacy won, not how many members each group currently retains.

As a reference to understand the result, the absolute majority in a Congress of 350 deputies is 176. No candidacy reached it alone in 2023: the PP lacked 39 seats and the PSOE, 55.

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