General election polls: This is the poll by La Séptima that gives the PSOE the winner, but with the PP and Vox with an absolute majority

SW Demoscopia places the socialists 4.6 points above the average and the PP 2.4 below. The difference also reaches Congress: the press and media pollsters’ aggregate collects 202 deputies for PP and Vox, while SW’s delivery of November 6 assigns them 178, plus one of PP-UPN

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Elecciones 29N · Encuestas

La media de las encuestas

Media a 7 de noviembre de 2026 · 11 institutos

  • PP31,0 %
  • PSOE26,2 %
  • Vox19,5 %
  • Frente Amplio6,6 %
  • ERC2,4 %
  • SALF2,2 %
  • Podemos2,1 %
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Media del último estudio de cada instituto en 30 días y su evolución semanal desde el 23J. Partidos con al menos un 2 %.

Todas las encuestas

Elecciones generales del 29 de noviembre · Demócrata

The poll from La Séptima draws an electoral race different from the one captured by the average of the rest of the polls. The figures released by SW Demoscopia for 7 of November place the PSOE at 30.8% and the PP at 28.6%. To make a comparison with other major polling firms, collected by Demócrata for that same date places the conservatives at 31% and the socialists at 26.2%.

The contrast changes the winner. While SW gives Pedro Sánchez an advantage of 2.2 points, the average gives Alberto Núñez Feijóo a margin of 4.8. Between these two readings of the PP-PSOE distance there are seven points.

The La Séptima poll versus the averages

DEMOCRAT · ELECTIONS 29N

The Seventh versus the average

Vote estimate · November 7, 2026

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SW vote estimate and Surveys average. November 7, 2026.
Party SW Democrat Difference
SW − average
PSOE 30,8% 26,2% +4,6
PP 28,6% 31,0% −2,4
Vox 17,2% 19,5% −2,3
Broad Front 7,7% 6,6% +1,1
Podemos 1,8% 2,1% −0,3

Differences in percentage points, not time variations.

The divergence also affects the blocs. PP and Vox add up to 50.5% in the Surveys average and 45.8% in the disseminated SW figures: 4.7 points of difference, according to The Seventh. For its part, the PSOE appears 4.6 points above the average.

Seats: a wide majority in the averages and much narrower in The Seventh

The average of the projections from seven institutes published by Democrat assigns 134 seats to the PP, 106 to the PSOE, and 68 to Vox. The Populars and Vox would reach 202 seats, 26 above the 176 of the absolute majority.

The SW delivery of November 6 collected in the sources consulted places the PSOE at 127 seats, the PP at 115, Vox at 63, and the Broad Front at 13. The institute separates one PP-UPN representative: when it is added, that space reaches 116 seats and its sum with Vox comes to 179.

Contrast with the seats

The political contrast is considerable. In Democrat, in the aggregated polls, the PP leads the PSOE by 28 seats. In SW, the PSOE exceeds the PP by 12, or 11 when incorporating PP-UPN. However, the first socialist place does not automatically equate to a majority to govern.

DEMOCRAT · ELECTIONS 29N

The contrast in seats

Congress of Deputies · Absolute majority: 176

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SW seats published on the 5th and 6th of November, versus Democrat’s average of November 7.
Party SW
Nov. 5
SW
Nov. 6
Average
Nov. 7
PSOE 126 127 106
PP 117 115 134
Vox 62 63 68
Broad Front 13 13 10
PP + Vox 179 178 202

SW separates one PP-UPN deputy: when adding it, the blocs reach 180 seats on day 5 and 179 on day 6.

How SW Demoscopia evolves: the deliveries of November 5, 6 and 7

The published estimates make it possible to follow the evolution of the tracking, although it is necessary to distinguish them from the daily cuts that have also been disseminated.

DEMÓCRATA · ELECCIONES 29N

SW deliveries, day by day

Published figures · November 2026

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Published SW figures on the days 5, 6 and 7 of November 2026.
Party Nov. 5 Nov. 6 Nov. 7
PSOE 30,9% 31,0% 30,8%
PP 28,6% 28,3% 28,6%
Vox 17,0% 17,2% 17,2%
Frente Amplio 7,6% 7,6% 7,7%
Podemos 1,2% 1,2% 1,8%

The PSOE goes from 23,8% to 29,8% between November 1 and 4: six points. The PP rises 5,5 points between days 2 and 3. Those differences between sample cut-offs do not show that millions of voters changed their vote on those days.

For the same reason, the 29,8% socialist figure from the cut-off of November 4 should not be used interchangeably with the 30,9% estimate from the first report.

The Seventh defends the solvency of the data

In the face of the controversy over the difference in data with the aggregation, La Séptima has defended the company’s credibility and has turned daily tracking into one of its bets for the 29N, widely promoted by the rank-and-file on social media and by Iván Redondo.

Breaking away from the polls, however, does not have to be considered what political science calls a ‘house effect’ and, finally, it will be the ballot boxes that deliver judgment.

In the rest of the media, the averages consulted also keep the conservatives ahead. EL PAÍS reports 31,1% for the PP and 26,6% for the PSOE; elDiario.es offers 31,4% and 26,5%.

More key points, information and questions with FREN

AI-GENERATED CONTENT

What is the process for handling electoral results in Spain after a general election?

After a general election in Spain, the results go through several phases: counting at the polling stations, general scrutiny, proclamation of elected candidates, and possible appeals. The data on election night are provisional: they allow for quick knowledge of the result but do not replace the official declaration of who obtains each seat.

1. Counting at the polling stations and provisional dissemination

At the end of voting, each polling station publicly counts the ballots, examines incidents, and documents the result in the corresponding records. Candidates can file complaints, which must be reflected in the electoral documentation.

During the night, the Administration transmits and aggregates these results to disseminate votes and a provisional distribution of seats. This information does not proclaim deputies or senators and can be corrected later upon verification of the records.

2. General scrutiny and official verification

The next phase corresponds to the Provincial Electoral Boards, responsible for the general scrutiny of elections to the Congress and the Senate. They examine the documentation from the polling stations, verify and aggregate their results, and handle incidents according to electoral legislation.

This is not about automatically repeating the count of all ballots but verifying and consolidating the documented results. The Zone Electoral Boards perform territorial electoral administration functions; the Central Electoral Board supervises the process and resolves appeals and queries within its competence.

3. Appeals and proclamation of elected candidates

Appeals and protests are examined through the channels provided in the Organic Law of the General Electoral Regime, known as LOREG. An irregularity does not automatically annul the vote: its relevance and actual impact on the result matter.

Once the corresponding operations are completed, the Electoral Board assigns the seats applying the rules of each Chamber, draws up the proclamation record, and issues credentials. In the Congress, proportional representation rules apply; in the Senate, its specific election rules.

The proclamation is official but subject to appeal. An official administrative result should not be confused with one that can no longer be judicially modified.

4. Judicial control of the results

Legitimized persons and candidacies can file an electoral contentious appeal against the proclamation. This allows discussing issues such as the validity of certain votes, the count, seat allocation, or relevant irregularities.

In general elections, these appeals correspond to the Contentious-Administrative Chamber of the Supreme Court. The ruling can confirm, modify, or annul the proclamation as legally provided. Subsequently, there may be an amparo appeal before the Constitutional Court for violation of fundamental rights: this is not a new ordinary recount.

5. Official publicity and parliamentary constitution

The official publication of results serves a publicity function. The Official State Gazette (BOE) does not count votes nor proclaim elected candidates: these functions correspond to the electoral Administration, under judicial control.

Then comes the parliamentary phase. According to the Congress Regulations, the Chamber meets on the date and time set in the royal decree of convocation. In the constitutive session, the list of elected candidates and pending appeals are read, the Board is elected, and the oath or promise to uphold the Constitution is made.

To fully acquire the status of deputy, the electoral credential and declaration of activities must also be submitted. The Chamber can be constituted with pending appeals: a later ruling may modify its composition.

In summary: the provisional count informs; the general scrutiny verifies; the proclamation declares who has been elected; and the courts can review that declaration. The parliamentary constitution puts the new Chamber into operation without revalidating each vote.

What are the powers and functions of the Prime Minister and the leader of the opposition according to Spanish legislation?

The Prime Minister is a constitutional authority with powers to direct the Executive and responsibility before the Congress. The leader of the opposition, at the state level, is a political designation: it does not constitute an equivalent office with its own powers. Their legal faculties depend on the positions they hold, for example, as a deputy or parliamentary spokesperson.

1. Prime Minister: position and appointment

The fundamental regulation is found in articles 97 to 102 of the Constitution, in Law 50/1997, of the Government, and in the Congress Regulations. A distinction must be made between the powers of the Prime Minister and those of the Government as a collegiate body.

The Prime Minister is appointed by the king after obtaining the confidence of the Congress through the investiture. The candidate presents their program and needs an absolute majority in the first vote or a simple majority in a second vote held forty-eight hours later. If two months pass from the first vote without any candidate obtaining confidence, both chambers are dissolved and elections are called. The procedure is set out in articles 170 to 172 of the Congress Regulations.

2. Their main powers
  • Direct and coordinate: directs the Government's action, coordinates the functions of its members, and represents the Executive. This position does not eliminate the own powers of each minister.
  • Form the Government: chooses its members and proposes their appointment to the king, according to article 100 of the Constitution.
  • Guide policy: directs the Executive which, according to article 97, leads domestic and foreign policy, civil and military administration, and state defense.
  • Channel normative action: directs a Government that exercises executive function and regulatory power. This does not mean the Prime Minister can personally approve any norm: the powers of the Council of Ministers and ministers must be respected.
  • Raise a vote of confidence: after deliberation of the Council of Ministers, can ask the Congress to confirm its support for its program or a general policy statement.
  • Promote a consultative referendum: submits the proposal for convocation to the king, with prior authorization from the Congress.
  • Appeal to the Constitutional Court: is legitimized to file unconstitutionality appeals.

Constitutional jurisprudence explains this presidential preeminence and distinguishes its faculties from those of the Government as a whole: Order 24/2017 and Judgment 110/2021.

3. Responsibility and continuity

The Government is subject to parliamentary control. The Congress can withdraw confidence through a constructive vote of no confidence: it must include an alternative candidate. When the Government ceases, it remains in office to ensure institutional continuity, with the limitations provided in article 21 of the Government Law. Being in office does not exempt it from parliamentary control, as noted in Judgment 124/2018.

4. Leader of the opposition: political functions, not own powers

This is usually identified as the leader of the main opposition party or group. The Congress Regulations do not establish a procedure for appointment or dismissal for this designation, nor specific powers, immunities, or remuneration.

Their political function consists of overseeing the Executive, offering an alternative, and negotiating agreements. Legally, questions, interpellations, bills, and other initiatives correspond to deputies and groups, according to their requirements. They also cannot present a motion of no confidence alone: it requires the signature of at least one-tenth of the Congress.

In short, presiding over the Government grants public powers; leading the opposition does not create them by itself. This conclusion refers to the state level, not to possible regional recognitions.

What legal requirements must be met for a party or coalition to achieve investiture as Prime Minister in the Congress?

Investiture is not granted to a party or coalition, but to a person candidate for the Presidency of the Government, who must obtain the confidence of the Congress. The essential rule is to achieve an absolute majority in the first vote or a simple majority in a second vote held forty-eight hours later. Being the candidacy with the most electoral votes or seats does not replace that parliamentary support.

1. Proposal of candidacy and debate

The general procedure is articulated in article 99 of the Constitution and in articles 170 to 172 of the Congress Regulations. The King, after consulting with representatives designated by political groups with parliamentary representation, proposes a candidacy through the Presidency of the Congress. It is up to the Congress to grant or deny confidence: the royal proposal does not equate to appointment.

Upon receiving the proposal, the Presidency of the Congress convenes the Plenary. The session begins with its reading and then the candidate presents, without time limit, the political program of the Government they intend to form and requests the confidence of the Chamber.

Parliamentary groups that request it intervene for thirty minutes each. The candidacy can respond as many times as requested, with the reply turns provided by regulations. Therefore, agreements between parties can facilitate support but do not replace the debate or the vote.

2. Necessary majorities
  • First vote: absolute majority. A favorable vote of more than half of the members of the Congress is required. It is not enough to obtain more favorable than opposing votes: that threshold must be reached over the entire Chamber.
  • Second vote: simple majority. If the absolute majority is not obtained, another vote is held forty-eight hours later. Then it is enough that favorable votes exceed opposing votes. Abstentions are not added to either block; they can facilitate that affirmative votes are more numerous but do not equate to support.

Before the second vote, the candidate can intervene for ten minutes and each parliamentary group for five to set their position. These rules are in article 171 of the Regulations.

3. Guarantees of the vote

The investiture vote is always public by roll call: deputies are named, who respond "yes," "no," or "abstention." The vote is personal and non-delegable. Also, to validly adopt agreements, the Chamber must be duly convened and have the attendance of the majority of its members, according to articles 78, 79, 85, and 86.

4. If the candidacy does not obtain confidence

Failing in both votes does not immediately cause new elections. Article 172 allows successive proposals to be processed by the same procedure within the applicable time limit.

That limit is two months from the first investiture vote, not from the elections nor from the start of negotiations. Presenting new candidacies does not restart the count. If none obtains confidence within that period, the dissolution of the General Courts and the calling of elections proceed: the Presidency of the Congress submits the decree for the King's signature and communicates it to the Presidency of the Senate.

5. If the investiture succeeds

Once confidence is granted in either vote, the Presidency of the Congress communicates it to the King for the appointment as Prime Minister. Ultimately, what is legally decisive is not winning the elections nor formalizing a coalition, but completing the procedure and gathering the required parliamentary majority.

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How much do you know about this topic? Answer the following 3 questions.

How many seats would PP and Vox add up to according to the average of polls collected by Demócrata?

Question 1 of 3

What is the difference in percentage of votes assigned to PSOE between the SW Demoscopia poll and the average of polls?

Question 2 of 3

According to the La Séptima poll, who would have the advantage in voting intention on November 7, 2026?

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