The poll from La Séptima draws an electoral race different from the one captured by the average of the rest of the polls. The figures released by SW Demoscopia for 7 of November place the PSOE at 30.8% and the PP at 28.6%. To make a comparison with other major polling firms, collected by Demócrata for that same date places the conservatives at 31% and the socialists at 26.2%.
The contrast changes the winner. While SW gives Pedro Sánchez an advantage of 2.2 points, the average gives Alberto Núñez Feijóo a margin of 4.8. Between these two readings of the PP-PSOE distance there are seven points.
The La Séptima poll versus the averages
DEMOCRAT · ELECTIONS 29N
The Seventh versus the average
Vote estimate · November 7, 2026
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| Party | SW | Democrat | Difference SW − average |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSOE | 30,8% | 26,2% | +4,6 |
| PP | 28,6% | 31,0% | −2,4 |
| Vox | 17,2% | 19,5% | −2,3 |
| Broad Front | 7,7% | 6,6% | +1,1 |
| Podemos | 1,8% | 2,1% | −0,3 |
Differences in percentage points, not time variations.
The divergence also affects the blocs. PP and Vox add up to 50.5% in the Surveys average and 45.8% in the disseminated SW figures: 4.7 points of difference, according to The Seventh. For its part, the PSOE appears 4.6 points above the average.
Seats: a wide majority in the averages and much narrower in The Seventh
The average of the projections from seven institutes published by Democrat assigns 134 seats to the PP, 106 to the PSOE, and 68 to Vox. The Populars and Vox would reach 202 seats, 26 above the 176 of the absolute majority.
The SW delivery of November 6 collected in the sources consulted places the PSOE at 127 seats, the PP at 115, Vox at 63, and the Broad Front at 13. The institute separates one PP-UPN representative: when it is added, that space reaches 116 seats and its sum with Vox comes to 179.
Contrast with the seats
The political contrast is considerable. In Democrat, in the aggregated polls, the PP leads the PSOE by 28 seats. In SW, the PSOE exceeds the PP by 12, or 11 when incorporating PP-UPN. However, the first socialist place does not automatically equate to a majority to govern.
DEMOCRAT · ELECTIONS 29N
The contrast in seats
Congress of Deputies · Absolute majority: 176
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| Party | SW Nov. 5 | SW Nov. 6 | Average Nov. 7 |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSOE | 126 | 127 | 106 |
| PP | 117 | 115 | 134 |
| Vox | 62 | 63 | 68 |
| Broad Front | 13 | 13 | 10 |
| PP + Vox | 179 | 178 | 202 |
SW separates one PP-UPN deputy: when adding it, the blocs reach 180 seats on day 5 and 179 on day 6.
How SW Demoscopia evolves: the deliveries of November 5, 6 and 7
The published estimates make it possible to follow the evolution of the tracking, although it is necessary to distinguish them from the daily cuts that have also been disseminated.
DEMÓCRATA · ELECCIONES 29N SW deliveries, day by day Published figures · November 2026 If you don’t see all the columns, swipe ↔
Party Nov. 5 Nov. 6 Nov. 7 PSOE 30,9% 31,0% 30,8% PP 28,6% 28,3% 28,6% Vox 17,0% 17,2% 17,2% Frente Amplio 7,6% 7,6% 7,7% Podemos 1,2% 1,2% 1,8%
The PSOE goes from 23,8% to 29,8% between November 1 and 4: six points. The PP rises 5,5 points between days 2 and 3. Those differences between sample cut-offs do not show that millions of voters changed their vote on those days.
For the same reason, the 29,8% socialist figure from the cut-off of November 4 should not be used interchangeably with the 30,9% estimate from the first report.
The Seventh defends the solvency of the data
In the face of the controversy over the difference in data with the aggregation, La Séptima has defended the company’s credibility and has turned daily tracking into one of its bets for the 29N, widely promoted by the rank-and-file on social media and by Iván Redondo.
Breaking away from the polls, however, does not have to be considered what political science calls a ‘house effect’ and, finally, it will be the ballot boxes that deliver judgment.
In the rest of the media, the averages consulted also keep the conservatives ahead. EL PAÍS reports 31,1% for the PP and 26,6% for the PSOE; elDiario.es offers 31,4% and 26,5%.