The electoral roll for the general elections on the upcoming November 29 includes more than three million citizens aged between 18 and 24, a group in which Vox ranks as the second force, according to the latest barometer from the Sociological Research Center (CIS), prepared at the beginning of this month.
In detail, the number of voters under 25 years old residing in Spain reaches 3,267,159, which represents 8.4% of the total of 38,728,356 voters. This figure comes from the Electoral Census Office, which at the moment does not provide detailed data by age of those registered and living abroad.
Among the people with the right to vote residing in national territory, 1,615,127 will vote for the first time in a general election after turning 18 since the legislative elections on July 23, 2023. This group represents 4.1% of the census.
According to data from the National Institute of Statistics (INE) consulted by Europa Press, for November 29, 969,247 young people aged between 18 and 19 are called to vote, with a slight majority of men (500,099) compared to 469,148 women. In the age group of 20 to 24 years, there are 2,297,912 voters, also with more males (1,177,570) than females (1,120,342).
The CIS Opinion Barometer of October indicates that 63.6% of the sample aged 18 to 24 claims they will go to the polls with total certainty, the lowest percentage among all generational groups, compared to 81.2% recorded among those aged between 65 and 74 years.
In this same survey, "19% of those under 25 already express their support for the PSOE, 15.6% say they will take the Vox ballot, 11.9% lean towards the PP, and 6.5%, towards Sumar (the survey was conducted before the formation of the so-called Broad Front). However, there is 14.8% who admit they are still unsure."
ABASCAL, SECOND PREFERRED IN MONCLOA
Regarding the preference for who should occupy the Presidency of the Government, 23.8% of young people respond that none. Among those who do mention a leader, the socialist Pedro Sánchez leads the mentions with 16.8%, and again, Vox ranks second: Santiago Abascal obtains 14.6%. The third position is held by the parliamentary spokesperson of ERC, Gabriel Rufián, with 10.2%, just a tenth above the leader of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo.
The CIS also surveys the degree of trust that Sánchez and Feijóo inspire. Among those under 25 years old, 21.7% claim to trust Sánchez a lot or quite a bit, while in the case of the PP leader, that percentage stands at 14.5%.
However, the president of the Government arouses somewhat more distrust than the popular leader in this segment: 77.9% declare to be wary of Sánchez, compared to 75.7% who express the same lack of confidence regarding the PP candidate for the Moncloa.
COMMUNITIES AND PROVINCES WITH MORE YOUNG VOTERS
By autonomous communities, Andalusia is the one that concentrates the most voters under 25 years old, with 641,061 registered, followed by Catalonia (536,210), the Community of Madrid (467,121), and the Valencian Community (349,358).
If we look at the constituencies, Madrid is the province with the highest number of young voters, ahead of Barcelona (394,850), Valencia (183,982), Seville (158,020), Alicante (124,848), Málaga (120,297), Murcia (119,063), and Cádiz (100,412). At the opposite end, with fewer than 10,000 voters under 25 years old, are Segovia (9,391), Ávila (9,239), Palencia (8,728), Ceuta (8,565), Zamora (8,371), Melilla (8,212), Teruel (7,818), and Soria (5,022).