Benjamin Netanyahu takes the lead in the counting of the elections in Israel, although he still does not have a guaranteed majority to continue governing. With 41.9% of the ballots counted, the provisional distribution attributes 57 deputies to his bloc, compared to 47 from the opposition led by Gadi Eisenkot. The Joint List and Ra'am, the two predominantly Arab candidacies, gather the other 16 representatives of a Knesset of 120 seats.
The absolute majority is at 61. This figure keeps the outcome open: neither Netanyahu nor his main adversaries currently reach that threshold. The numbers correspond to an incomplete count and may vary as new ballots are added.
Israel's counting: how the blocs stand
The progress of the scrutiny offers a different picture from the exit polls. The projection from Kan collected by Reuters placed the two major blocs tied at 51 seats, with another 18 for the Arab formations. That estimate came from interviews with voters, not from the ballot count.
| Bloc or grouping | Provisional seats |
|---|---|
| Netanyahu's bloc | 57 |
| Opposition led by Eisenkot | 47 |
| Joint List and Ra'am | 16 |
| Total of the Knesset | 120 |
Absolute majority: 61 seats. Source: partial results from the Central Electoral Commission collected by The Times of Israel on October 28, 2026. Provisional distribution subject to changes; does not constitute the definitive result.
Netanyahu leads, but winning with Likud does not guarantee governing
Likud appears as the leading force, but Netanyahu's continuity depends on the possibilities of agreement with other parties. The election of the Parliament does not automatically grant the leadership of the Government to the leader of the most voted candidacy.
The polls released during the night anticipated a setback compared to the positions reached by Likud and some of its allies in 2022. The initial text of the projections placed Netanyahu's party between 24 and 25 seats and Yashar, Eisenkot's formation, between 21 and 23.
The partial count has improved the position of the governing bloc compared to those polls, but it still does not allow for certainty about its continuity. In addition, there are votes that are processed later, including those cast by double envelope, such as those of soldiers.
Eisenkot seeks an alternative with forces of different ideologies
Gadi Eisenkot, former chief of staff, leads the attempt to replace Netanyahu. His space shares that objective with other formations, although it brings together different political sensitivities.
Among them are Beyahad, the alliance of Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid; Israel Beitenu, headed by Avigdor Lieberman; and The Democrats, led by Yair Golán.
The difficulty lies in transforming the common rejection of the prime minister into a majority capable of sustaining an Executive. The ideological distance between those forces, and their different positions on collaboration with Arab parties, makes negotiations a decisive part of the electoral outcome.
The Arab parties can decide the formation of Government
The Joint List and Ra'am occupy a central place in the calculations. In the provisional picture, the 47 opposition deputies and the 16 from both formations would total 63, two above the absolute majority.
This is an arithmetic possibility, not a closed pact. It also does not imply that the two Arab candidacies act as a single block nor that all opposition parties accept the same agreement.
Ra'am, led by Mansur Abbas, participated in the coalition of Bennett and Lapid formed in 2021. Its experience offers a precedent, but does not resolve the current differences among those who would have to negotiate an alternative.
The growth of Arab representation anticipated by the polls has precisely placed that issue at the center of the debate: how far the opponents of Netanyahu are willing to go to build a parliamentary majority.
Participation of 77.7% in elections marked by war
Participation reached 77.7%, the highest since 1999, according to the Central Electoral Commission cited by Anadolu. This represents an increase of 7.1 points compared to the 2022 elections.
The voting has been marked by the consequences of the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023, and the subsequent wars, in addition to disputes over the military service of the ultra-Orthodox, the cost of living, and political responsibilities for security failures.
With the counting still open, attention is focused on two issues: whether Netanyahu's block manages to approach 61 deputies and whether the opposition gathers enough compatible support among themselves to form an alternative. The first answer depends on the pending ballots; the second, on the negotiations that will come afterward.