The fall of the stock markets due to doubts about artificial intelligence hits this Monday some of the companies most exposed to its expansion. SoftBank, an investor in OpenAI, records a decline of up to 13.2% in the early stages of Japanese trading, after a weekend of warnings from the very leaders of the most advanced models.
The movement affects memory manufacturers, equipment suppliers, and AI developers from various Asian markets. According to Reuters' ticker, Kioxia initially falls 9.8%, SK Hynix loses 5.3%, and Samsung Electronics retreats 3.7%.
The concern is also reflected in expectations for the United States. Nasdaq 100 futures were down 1.2%
Why stocks linked to artificial intelligence are falling
The trigger is the call from Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, to slow down the pace at which companies expand the capabilities of their models. Sam Altman, head of OpenAI, and Elon Musk, at the helm of xAI, have expressed their agreement, according to Reuters.
Altman has also pointed out that OpenAI will not go public this year, citing security reasons. The decision adds uncertainty for investors who were expecting that operation and coincides with the strong punishment to SoftBank, one of its shareholders.
The economic reading is that a slowdown could modify the growth expectations that support part of the sector's valuations. If development were to advance more slowly, investors would have to revise when the revenues and infrastructure needs associated with the new models would materialize.
That is a risk that the market is beginning to value, not a confirmed cut in orders. The ticker does not report a general cancellation of investments in chips or data centers.
SoftBank and chip manufacturers lead the losses
The declines reported by Reuters during the early stages of the day show an uneven punishment within the sector:
Sales also reach China and Hong Kong. CXMT falls 2.7% and Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation, 1.4%. Minimax loses 5.4%, while Z.ai falls by 10.5%, although in this latter case, another factor is at play: a discounted stock placement.
What we can expect today in Europe and Wall Street
The available signal points to pressure on companies related to AI, although the intensity of the movement may change during the day. The decline of U.S. futures indicates that the unease is already spreading beyond Asian markets.
In Europe, the first question will be to check whether sales are concentrated in semiconductors and technology or if they spread to the entire indices. To assess the impact on the IBEX 35, one must observe its own trading: a 13.2% drop in SoftBank does not allow extrapolating an equivalent movement to the Spanish stock market.
The opening of the regular session of Wall Street, at 15:30 of peninsular Spain, will be another reference. It will allow checking whether the anticipated sales by the futures hold when the trading volume of the spot market comes in.
From there, two scenarios open up. If companies maintain their investment plans and implement security measures without major commercial delays, part of the punishment could be moderated. If they announce delays in models, financial operations, or infrastructure spending, the economic basis for the sales would increase.
The evolution of corporate announcements will be more relevant to distinguish both scenarios than the general statements in favor of safe AI.
Trump rejects halting development despite warnings
The President of the United States, Donald Trump, has defended maintaining U.S. leadership in artificial intelligence and has rejected the risk scenarios posed by his critics, according to Reuters.
His position opens a discrepancy with the heads of the laboratories who have called for slowing down progress. For the markets, that difference adds a question mark about what limits could be applied and whether they would come from the companies themselves or from public decisions.
The debate over access to the models had already had operational consequences.
The security risks and the Middle East add uncertainty
Anthropic published a report on Thursday about the use of its Claude models in activities related to weapon development, cyber operations, surveillance, and fraud, according to the wire. Warnings about the potential harms of the technology have intensified in recent days.
The AI is not the only factor weighing on the session. The economist from Sony Financial Group Takayuki Miyajima points out, in the note cited by Reuters, that the uncertainty in the Middle East continues to affect the mood of investors.
The United States and China expect to address the security of artificial intelligence in the bilateral talks this month, according to two people informed of the plans cited by the agency.