The anticipated rate hike for this Thursday may once again tighten the competition for bank deposits. Entities will have to decide how much improvement on the credit side they allocate to their clients to retain savings.
The latest results show very different positions. CaixaBank is already recording a slight increase in its deposits; Unicaja has abundant liquidity; Bankinter is capturing a good part of the growth in savings through off-balance sheet products; and Santander and BBVA have the cushion of their international diversification.
CaixaBank: a still low cost of deposits
CaixaBank closed the second quarter with a cost of deposits of 0.54%, compared to 0.51% in the previous quarter. In adjusted terms, the cost was 0.47%.
The increase is already having an effect on the business. The customer differential fell from 2.94% to 2.89% in the quarter, with three basis points of decline linked to the higher cost of deposits.
It thus starts from a still reduced cost, but also from a huge base of resources. If competition for savings increases, a higher return on liabilities may take away part of the benefit that the rate hike brings.
Sabadell: credit and resources grow
Sabadell closed June with 188.110 billion euros in customer resources, 6.4% more year-on-year. On-balance resources grew by 4.7% and off-balance resources by 11%. Live credit increased by 5.5%, to about 125.200 billion euros. In Spain, it reached approximately 107.100 billion.
The entity is therefore simultaneously increasing financing and credit. Its interest margin reached 1.774 billion euros in the first half and grew by 3.4% between the first and second quarters.
The variable to watch will be the price that Sabadell needs to pay to maintain the growth of resources if other entities raise the remuneration.
Bankinter: savings move towards funds
Bankinter closed June with 162.085 billion euros in customer resources and assets under management, 9.6% more. The difference lies in where the money grows. Retail resources on balance advanced only 2%, while those off-balance — funds, pensions, wealth management, and other products — increased by 20.3%.
This growth reduces the weight of competition based solely on deposits. Bankinter closed the semester with an interest margin of 1.160.3 billion euros, 8.6% more.
Unicaja: liquidity against a price war
Unicaja starts from a comfortable liquidity position. Its ratio of loans to retail deposits stood at 72.1% in June, while the LCR (liquidity coverage ratio) reached 305.8% and the NSFR (net stable funding ratio) 152.1%. The entity also had 28.931 billion euros in liquid and discountable assets at the ECB, net of those already used.
This position reduces its need to attract deposits at any cost. Customer resources reached 97.866 billion euros, an increase of 3.5%, while investment funds grew by 18.2%. A position that would allow it to face a potential deposit war without the pressure of needing additional funding to currently sustain its loan portfolio.
BBVA: Spain weighs less in the equation
BBVA's customer deposits grew by 6.1% in the first half, while off-balance sheet resources increased by 8.7%. The group closed June with a profit of 6.051 billion euros, an increase of 11.1%, and an increase in the interest margin of 20.3%.
In BBVA, however, the Spanish battle for deposits has a relatively smaller impact on consolidated accounts than in more domestic banks. Mexico, Turkey, and South America subject the group to monetary cycles different from that of the ECB.
Santander: a large deposit base in Spain
Santander had 318.000 billion euros in deposits in Spain at the end of the first quarter, a 6% year-on-year increase. Investment funds reached another 110.000 billion, with a growth of 14%.
Across the group, deposits increased by 5% in constant euros during the first half, excluding the effect of TSB. The interest margin reached 22.711 billion euros, a 7% increase in constant euros.
Like BBVA, Santander has international diversification as a buffer. The evolution of the cost of Spanish deposits will be relevant for its domestic business, but does not solely determine the group's results.