What until a few months ago was negotiated in discreet drafts and diplomatic corridors is now official and public doctrine. The Atlantic Alliance has finally accepted that the era in which Washington automatically covered any strategic deficiency on the continent is coming to an end. Upon his arrival today at the NATO Defense Ministers meeting in Brussels, US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth has given a name and surname to the new scenario: "NATO 3.0". A post-Cold War refoundation intended to return the organization to its nature as a "hardline military alliance" where Europeans, once and for all, assume leadership of their own conventional defense.
Hegseth's message arrives barely twenty-four hours after this newspaper revealed the contingency plans Brussels is working on for the day the United States executes a partial withdrawal of its capabilities in the Old Continent. Far from easing tensions, the Pentagon chief has confirmed the background music: Washington is committed, but demands immediate reciprocity.
The Price of Security: A 20% Increase That Isn't Enough
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte tried to temper the atmosphere upon the arrival of the American delegation, thanking Hegseth for his "leadership" and highlighting the economic effort already being made by European capitals and Canada. A financial boost that will translate into more than 90 billion additional dollars in 2025, representing an increase of nearly 20% in the allied military budget outside US borders.
However, for Donald Trump's administration, this milestone is just the floor, not the ceiling. Hegseth was crystal clear about it:
"The expectation is that Europeans at least match what the US has spent. And they have to do it not just because we are asking, but because we have to stay safe," Hegseth assured.
The secretary warned that, although many countries are meeting the capability targets set at the Hague summit, Washington will maintain an uncompromising stance with laggards. "We will be frank about it, both in private and in public. It's important: friends are honest with friends," he launched as a warning to the ministers sitting at the table today.
The Industrial Race Against the Russia-China Bloc
One of the most critical points of the day is the factory production gap. As Demócrata already reported, the European defense industry continues to show serious bottlenecks to be fully self-sufficient. Hegseth has framed this urgency in an aggressive global competition against Moscow and Beijing.
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Large-scale production: The U.S. demands the full opening of the defense industrial base on both sides of the Atlantic.
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The challenge: "We have to do better than China, Russia, and others, who are right now rapidly expanding their defense industry production," said the U.S. secretary.
To demonstrate that the White House practices what it preaches, Hegseth boasted about American figures: a projected investment of 1.5 trillion dollars for Fiscal Year 2027. A multi-billion dollar deployment that the secretary himself will defend in Congress in the coming weeks and which will define the "arsenal of freedom" with which the U.S. will prioritize its interests, leaving NATO support as a safety net, but not as a permanent crutch.
The intelligence "hole" and the Spanish contingency plan
The real challenge of this transition towards "NATO 3.0" lies not only in adding battalions or buying ammunition —where the bet on Made in Europe and partners like South Korea is beginning to gain traction—. Diplomatic sources had already warned this outlet that the real strategic "hole" lies in military intelligence, satellite surveillance, and electronic warfare, areas where European dependence on the Pentagon is almost absolute and whose alternative requires decades of technological investment.
To this are added the suspicions recently expressed by Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who questioned the Alliance's reciprocity if some European partners "deny the use of bases in contingency situations."
Given this withdrawal of tangible capabilities —which will predictably affect American air and submarine assets on the continent—, countries like Spain are already making moves to avoid losing weight in the new power distribution. The environment of the Minister of Defense, Margarita Robles, has already designed preliminary drafts with national contributions to try to cover the gaps left by the Pentagon.
The meeting today in Brussels, therefore, becomes another key session. The technical working groups are accelerating against the clock with a fixed objective: to ensure that Europe arrives with an advanced military sovereignty roadmap before the big leaders' summit in July in Ankara, the place where "NATO 3.0" will receive its definitive baptism of fire.