General elections: the PSOE drops below 100 seats and PP and Vox add up to 203, according to DATA10

The survey places the PP at 32.4% and 134 seats, the PSOE at 24.7% and 97 representatives, and Vox at 19.8% and 69 seats. Compared with October, the Socialists lose 13 seats, the Populars retreat five, and Abascal’s party gains another five

EuropaPress 7579805 presidente vox santiago abascal presidente pp alberto nunez feijoo visita

EuropaPress 7579805 presidente vox santiago abascal presidente pp alberto nunez feijoo visita

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Elecciones 29N · Encuestas

La media de las encuestas

Media a 9 de noviembre de 2026 · 14 institutos

  • PP31,3 %
  • PSOE26,9 %
  • Vox19,1 %
  • Frente Amplio6,5 %
  • ERC2,5 %
01020304050ene 2024jul 2024ene 2025jul 2025ene 2026jul 2026

Media del último estudio de cada instituto en 30 días y su evolución semanal desde el 23J. Partidos con al menos un 2 %.

Todas las encuestas

Elecciones generales del 29 de noviembre · Demócrata

The PP would win the general elections with 32.4% of the votes and 134 seats, according to the DATA10 survey for OKDIARIO published this 9 November. The PSOE would obtain 24.7% and 97 deputies, while Vox would reach 19.8% and 69 representatives. The gap between the Popular Party and the Socialists would be 7.7 points and 37 seats. PP and Vox would add up to 52.2% of the vote and 203 deputies, 27 above the absolute majority; with the two representatives that the study assigns separately to UPN, they would reach 205.

PSOE loses 13 seats since October and Vox gains five

Comparison with the newspaper’s previous poll, published on 5 October, shows a PSOE setback of 1.4 points and 13 seats, from 110 to 97. The PP also loses representation, going from 139 to 134 deputies, while Vox advances from 64 to 69. The combined total of Popular Party and Vox remains, therefore, at 203 seats: the internal distribution of the right changes, but not its joint parliamentary strength.

The Congress according to DATA10

Survey for OKDIARIO · 9 November 2026

Party Vote Seats
PP 32.4% 134
PSOE 24.7% 97
Vox 19.8% 69
Broad Front 6.9% 14
Podemos 3.1% 2
ERC 2.3% 9
Junts 1.5% 6
EH Bildu 1.3% 7
Adelante Andalucía 1.3% 3
BNG 1.0% 2
PNV 0.7% 4
Coalición Canaria 0.4% 1
UPN 0.3% 2
Others 4.3% 0
PP + Vox: 52.2% of the vote and 203 seats.
PP + Vox + UPN: 205 seats.
Absolute majority: 176 seats.

Source: DATA10 for OKDIARIO. Fieldwork: 2 and 3 November 2026. Sample: 1,500 interviews. Broad Front appears identified as «Sumar» in the original infographic. «Others» includes SALF. UPN is counted separately from PP.

Broad Front would rise to 6.9% of the vote and 14 deputies, nine more than in October. Podemos would obtain 3.1% and two representatives. PSOE, Broad Front and Podemos would bring together 113 seats, compared with the 203 for PP and Vox. Among the territorial forces, ERC would secure nine deputies; EH Bildu, seven; Junts, six; PNV, four; Adelante Andalucía, three; BNG and UPN, two each; and Coalición Canaria, one. SALF would reach 1.5%, without representation.

What changes compared with 23J

Ahead of the July 2023 elections, the PP would lose three seats, the PSOE would fall back 24, and Vox would gain 36. In terms of vote share, and taking the 2023 figures rounded to one decimal place, the changes would be −0.7 points for the Conservatives, −7 for the Socialists, and +7.4 for Vox. The comparison of Frente Amplio with the 31 seats of Sumar requires considering that Podemos is running now separately and that the composition of the candidate lists has changed.

The poll also asks about the continuity of Puente

In addition to the electoral estimate, DATA10 reports that 66.3% of those interviewed believed that Óscar Puente should be dismissed for the rail accidents, compared with 21.1% who defended his staying in office. Among Socialist voters, 40.3% supported his dismissal and 44.6% his remaining. Fieldwork was carried out on November 2 and 3, so it does not allow assessing the change after his resignation. It also does not allow attributing by itself to the Urda accident all of the electoral change compared with October.

See here the technical sheet and the full survey in OKDIARIO

More key points, information and questions with FREN

AI-GENERATED CONTENT

What stage is the processing of the possible call for general elections in Spain at, and what would be the legal deadlines for their holding?

As of November 9, 2026, the general elections in Spain are already called for Sunday, November 29: this is not a hypothetical call pending approval. The dissolution of the Cortes and the call were formalized by Royal Decree 806/2026, of October 5, published on October 6. The process is now in the period prior to the start of the electoral campaign.

What stage is the procedure at?

It is important to distinguish between the decision to call elections and the development of the electoral process. The first has already been completed: the decree, signed by the King and countersigned by the president of the Government, came into force on the day of its publication and dissolved the Congress and Senate elected in 2023. There is no parliamentary vote pending to authorize the call. The decree in the BOE can be consulted.

According to the electoral calendar, the candidacies were proclaimed on November 2 and published on the 3rd. Therefore, the next main milestone is the start of the campaign, on November 13. The date for the constitution of the new Chambers is also set: December 23, 2026, at 10:00 a.m., as reported by Demócrata about the call.

What legal deadlines govern the call?

For an early dissolution like this, Article 115 of the Constitution assigns the initiative to propose it to the president of the Government, after deliberation by the Council of Ministers and under his responsibility. The King decrees the dissolution and the decree itself sets the election date. A political announcement alone does not replace this formalization.

Article 42.1 of the Organic Law of the General Electoral Regime establishes that the decree is published the day after its issuance and comes into force that same day. The elections are held on the fifty-fourth day after the call. Therefore, it is not a free margin to choose any date between a minimum and a maximum: in this case there is a specific period of 54 days. The publication on October 6 leads to the vote on November 29.

Early dissolution has constitutional limits: it cannot be proposed while a motion of censure is being processed nor can a new one be agreed upon before one year has passed since the previous one, except in the case of investiture failure. If two months pass from the first investiture vote without any candidate obtaining the confidence of the Congress, another dissolution and call proceed. Those two months are not counted from the elections nor from the constitution of the Chamber; this is specified by Article 172 of the Congress Regulations.

Upcoming dates
  • November 13–27: fifteen-day electoral campaign, from 00:00 on the 13th until 24:00 on the 27th, as explained by Demócrata about the campaign.
  • November 19: last day to request postal voting; the deadline to deposit it ends on November 25, according to the official information from the Interior Ministry.
  • November 29: voting to elect the Congress and the Senate.
  • December 23: constitutive sessions of both Chambers, distinct from the subsequent investiture of the president of the Government.

In short, the deadline to decide and formalize this call has already ended. What is underway is the electoral organization until the vote, followed by the constitution of the new Cortes and the procedure to form a Government.

What are the powers and functions of the Minister of Transport in Spain according to current legislation?

The Minister of Transport and Sustainable Mobility heads the department responsible for proposing and executing the Government's policy on infrastructures and transport services under state competence. His responsibilities include sustainable mobility, investment planning, and other matters such as postal regulatory organization and state geographic services. It is important to distinguish his leadership role from the specific powers exercised by the secretariats, general directorates, and entities of the Ministry.

Legal framework and scope

The central reference is Royal Decree 253/2024, of March 12, which develops the Ministry's organizational structure. Its Article 1 assigns the department the "proposal and execution of the Government's policy" in the enumerated areas, aiming to guarantee safe and sustainable mobility based on social justice criteria. It can be consulted in the BOE of its publication.

This regulation develops the basic organization established by Royal Decree 1009/2023. Subsequently, Royal Decree 690/2025 modified aspects of crisis coordination and civil aviation functions.

Main areas of competence

  • State infrastructures: directing departmental policy on land, air, and maritime transport infrastructures, including investment planning and programming. Execution corresponds to competent bodies and attached entities.
  • Transport services: promoting their control, organization, and administrative regulation within the state scope. This includes land, maritime, and air modes, without making the minister the direct manager of each service.
  • Sustainable mobility: promoting it in its social, economic, and environmental dimensions, including active mobility. The ministerial organization contemplates strategies, economic instruments and aids, territorial cooperation, and integration of infrastructures in urban environments.
  • Intermodality: guiding coordination between different transport modes to facilitate the movement of people and goods and improve the joint functioning of the system.
  • Other matters: directing the policy of regulatory organization of postal services and promoting state services of astronomy, geodesy, geophysics, and cartography.

Leadership, planning, and organization

According to Article 1.2, the State Secretariat for Transport and Sustainable Mobility and the Undersecretariat report directly to the minister. He also has an immediate support Cabinet and a General Subdirectorate of International Relations directly dependent.

Article 2 specifies that the State Secretariat acts "under the direction of the head of the Department." It is responsible for formulating and monitoring strategic planning, investment programming, infrastructure execution, and coordination and supervision of attached bodies. Therefore, these are ministerial responsibilities, but not all constitute actions that the minister must personally carry out.

Investment programming must prioritize safety, maintenance, daily mobility, technification, and intermodality. Departmental planning and programming are formulated before being submitted to the Council of Ministers when appropriate.

International relations and limits

The department coordinates its international relations and representation, especially before the European Union, in collaboration with Foreign Affairs. The 2025 reform also strengthens crisis prevention and coordination and victim assistance, without transferring direct emergency management to the coordinating body.

Finally, Article 1.5 requires exercising these powers in coordination and without prejudice to those of other ministries. The state scope of the attributions also prevents interpreting them as a general competence over any regional or municipal road, infrastructure, or transport.

What legal requirements must a motion of censure meet to succeed in the Congress of Deputies?

To succeed in Congress, a motion of censure must gather the required signatures, propose an alternative candidacy, respect parliamentary procedure, and obtain the absolute majority. It is a constructive motion: it is not enough to withdraw confidence from the Government; it must simultaneously support who will replace it.

1. Presentation and content

Article 113.2 of the Constitution requires that it be proposed by at least one tenth of the deputies. Article 175.2 of the Regulations specifies that it must be submitted through a motivated written document addressed to the Board of the Congress and include a candidate for the Presidency of the Government who has accepted the candidacy.

Therefore, the document must explain the reasons for the censure and identify an accepted alternative. It is not required to attach a written government program as a specific admission requirement: Article 177.1 foresees that the candidacy may intervene during the debate to present the political program of the Government it intends to form.

2. Admission and deadlines

The Board verifies the requirements and, if met, admits the motion for processing and communicates its presentation to the president of the Government and parliamentary spokespersons, according to Article 176.1. This provision does not establish a specific deadline to resolve admission.

  • Alternative motions: may be submitted within two days following the initial presentation. They must meet the same requirements of signatures, motivation, and accepted candidacy.
  • Minimum waiting: the vote cannot be held before five days have passed since the presentation of the first motion. This is a constitutional minimum, not an obligation to vote exactly on the fifth day.
  • Counting: Article 90 of the Regulations establishes, as a general rule, working days and contemplates the particularities of periods without sessions.

The Presidency sets the agenda in agreement with the Board of Spokespersons and announces the voting time in advance. The specific articles on censure do not set an independent maximum deadline to hold the debate.

3. Debate and voting

The debate begins with the defense by one of the signing deputies, without time limit. Then the candidacy may intervene, also without limit. After a break, groups that request it have thirty minutes and a reply or rectification of ten minutes, according to Article 177.

Approval requires, "in any case," the favorable vote of the absolute majority of the members of Congress. It is not enough to obtain more favorable than opposing votes: abstentions and absences do not reduce this requirement. There is also no second vote by simple majority, as happens in ordinary investiture. The vote is obligatorily public by roll call, according to Article 85.2.

If several motions concur, they may be debated jointly but are voted on separately and in order of presentation. Once one is approved, the others are no longer voted on.

4. Consequences and limits

According to Article 114.2 of the Constitution, if it succeeds, the Government presents its resignation to the king and the candidacy is understood to have the confidence of Congress. The king appoints it for the Presidency of the Government: no other investiture is necessary.

If it is rejected, its signatories cannot present another during the same session period. This is not a prohibition for the entire legislature nor for all deputies. If it was presented between periods, it is counted for the next one, according to Article 179.

The procedural regulation can be consulted in Articles 175 to 179 of the Congress Regulations.

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What percentage of votes would the PP obtain according to the DATA10 survey published on November 9, 2026?

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How many seats would the PSOE lose compared to the previous October survey, according to DATA10?

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What percentage of respondents considered that Óscar Puente should be dismissed after the railway accidents?

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