Haaretz reveals that Netanyahu received a warning about the Hamas attack on October 7, 2023, and did not inform the security chiefs.

A investigation holds that the president of the United Arab Emirates alerted the Israeli prime minister that Hamas was preparing a large operation. Netanyahu's office denies even that the conversation took place: “It is an absolute lie.”

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The Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, would have received a direct warning about the intentions of the Hamas leader, Yahya Sinwar, approximately ten days before the attacks on October 7, 2023, but did not pass the information to the main security officials of Israel.

This is asserted by a investigation published this Tuesday by the Israeli newspaper Haaretz, according to which the President of the United Arab Emirates, Mohamed bin Zayed, personally warned Netanyahu that Sinwar was preparing a large-scale operation.

The office of the Israeli Prime Minister has categorically rejected the information and even denies that the conversation took place. “An absolute lie! Prime Minister Netanyahu did not speak with the President of the United Arab Emirates during the mentioned period and did not receive any warning from him,” he responded.

The revelation is part of the investigation conducted by journalists Shlomi Eldar and Ruth Yuval for the book Hostages: 843 Days of AbandonmentRehenes: 843 días de abandono, focused on the political and security failures surrounding the attacks of October 7 and the subsequent management of the hostages.

A 45-minute call ten days before the attack

According to the reconstruction by Haaretz, Bin Zayed held a phone conversation of approximately 45 minutes with Netanyahu at the end of September 2023.

During the call, the Emirati president would have warned that Sinwar was preparing a “big move” against Israel that could provoke bloodshed, destabilize the region, and endanger the Abraham Accords, through which Israel and the United Arab Emirates normalized their relations in 2020.

Bin Zayed would have recommended to Netanyahu to prepare for the threat and take measures to reduce tension both in the Gaza Strip and in the West Bank.

The Israeli Prime Minister would have responded that, according to his analysis, Hamas was preparing an escalation focused on the West Bank and that Israel was prepared to face any scenario.

The investigation does not claim that the Emirati leader knew the date or specific details of the attack, but rather that he transmitted an explicit warning about the preparation of a large-scale operation by Sinwar.

Netanyahu would not have informed the security officials

The most relevant accusation of the investigation is that Netanyahu did not communicate the content of the conversation to the then Minister of Defense, Yoav Gallant; to the Chief of Staff of the Army, Herzi Halevi; to the director of the Shin Bet, Ronen Bar, nor to the head of the Mossad, David Barnea.

Halevi and Bar have confirmed to the authors that they were not informed about a warning from the President of the United Arab Emirates.

Netanyahu's office completely rejects this account. His version not only questions the content or interpretation of the conversation but denies that it ever took place.

For the moment, the United Arab Emirates has not publicly confirmed the call. Nor have phone records, recordings, or official documents been released that would allow for independent verification of the core of the revelation.

Sinwar would have announced that he was preparing a “earthquake”

The warning attributed to Bin Zayed would have originated from a secret channel of contacts that existed during 2023 between Israel and Hamas to negotiate a long-term truce, economic measures for Gaza, and a possible agreement on the Israelis held in the Strip.

According to the investigation, Sinwar interrupted those conversations at the beginning of September and subsequently communicated to a Palestinian mediator that he was preparing a “huge surprise” for Israel. He also used the Arabic word “zilzal,” which means “earthquake.”

The mediator conveyed the message to a Palestinian advisor close to the Emirati president. After holding a new meeting with Sinwar and hearing references to a large-scale operation, the intermediaries would have concluded that it was not merely a threat intended to pressure the negotiations.

Bin Zayed would have then decided to contact Netanyahu directly.

The Shin Bet also received indications about Hamas's plans

The same message about the “earthquake” that Sinwar was preparing would have reached the Shin Bet on September 15, 2023. Ronen Bar requested to speak with Netanyahu, and two days later several meetings began with security officials.

However, the Israeli services did not determine what exactly Hamas intended to do. One of the hypotheses examined was that the message was related to Elizabeth Tsurkov, the Russian-Israeli researcher kidnapped in Iraq by a Shiite militia in March 2023.

The investigation indicates that Bar warned that Israel was on a trajectory of confrontation and recommended considering an offensive action or significantly reinforcing the defense in Gaza and the West Bank. The meetings concluded without relevant operational decisions.

On October 1, six days before the attack, another meeting was held regarding the situation in Gaza. Bar would have raised the consideration of eliminating several Hamas leaders, including Sinwar. Netanyahu requested to prepare plans but ordered to lower the tension for the moment.

In that meeting, the supposed conversation with Bin Zayed would not have been mentioned either.

A second warning from Egypt

Haaretz also maintains that Netanyahu's office received during those days a warning from the then head of Egyptian intelligence, Abbas Kamel, about “something unusual” and a possible large operation by Hamas.

From the prime minister's environment, they would have responded that Israel kept the situation in Gaza under control and that it was concentrating its attention and forces in the West Bank.

The existence of a prior Egyptian warning before October 7 has been the subject of contradictory versions since the first days following the attacks. Netanyahu has repeatedly denied having received an operational warning from Egypt.

A revelation that increases pressure on Netanyahu

The information questions the defense maintained by Netanyahu since the attacks of October 7. The prime minister has attributed much of the failure to the military and intelligence commanders and claims that he did not receive an operational warning about the Hamas attack.

If the conversation with Bin Zayed were confirmed, the investigation would require determining why Netanyahu did not share the warning with the security officials and whether that information would have changed the Israeli assessment of Sinwar's intentions.

The former Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot has reacted by accusing the prime minister of having led Israel “blindly” towards the disaster of October 7. The families of the victims and different sectors of the opposition have again demanded an independent state commission of inquiry to determine the political, military, and intelligence responsibilities.

The revelation continues, however, supported by the investigation of Haaretz and the sources used for the new book. In front of it is the absolute denial from Netanyahu's office and the absence, until now, of a public confirmation from the Emirati government.

More key points, information and questions with FREN

AI-GENERATED CONTENT

What parliamentary phase are the official investigations into the October 7 attack in Israel currently in?

Based on the available information, there is no record, as of today, of a fully established official parliamentary commission in the Israeli Parliament to comprehensively investigate the October 7, 2023 attack. The news rather points to a scenario of political deadlock in the Knesset and investigative initiatives driven by the Government itself (ministerial commission) and judicial and multilateral bodies, but not to an operational state parliamentary commission.

1. Situation in the Israeli Parliament (Knesset)

According to the newspaper Demócrata, the State Control Committee of the Israeli Parliament has again rejected the opening of a parliamentary investigation into the October 7 attacks:

  • The article "The Israeli Parliament once again dismisses the proposal to investigate the October attacks" details that this committee has decided not to proceed with opening an investigation into security failures and management prior to the attack.
  • This refusal is part of a series of initiatives promoted by the opposition that sought the creation of an official commission; the parliamentary majority has repeatedly chosen to discard the investigation in parliamentary venue.

In strictly parliamentary terms, this places the issue in a phase prior to the opening of an investigative commission: the proposals have been debated in the competent committee but have not passed the approval threshold. There is no record of:

  • Formal creation of a state investigative commission by the Knesset.
  • Regulations, schedule, list of witnesses, or work plan approved by Parliament.

2. Ministerial investigative commission promoted by the Government

Although Parliament has not launched a commission as such, progress has been made in a government-origin investigative mechanism. Demócrata reports, in the article "Ben Gvir and Smotrich will collaborate in the formulation of the October 7 investigative commission", the creation of a:

  • Ministerial commission chaired by Yariv Levin, Minister of Justice, tasked with defining the functions, competencies, deadlines, and structure of a future investigative commission on October 7.
  • This body includes several ministers, among them Bezalel Smotrich (Finance) and Itamar Ben Gvir (National Security), as well as other cabinet members.
  • This commission has the mandate to issue recommendations within 45 days, so that the Executive can then formally establish the investigative commission.

In other words, the phase this mechanism is in is an internal preparatory phase within the Government: a group of ministers is tasked with designing the scope and format of the future investigation, but it has not yet been configured as a fully operational investigative commission nor, in any case, as a parliamentary commission.

3. Criticism and judicial oversight in Israel

Meanwhile, there is intense debate about the independence and legitimacy of the proposed investigative mechanisms:

This reflects that the institutional architecture of the investigation is still in political and legal dispute, without having crystallized into an investigative commission with a status equivalent to a fully recognized parliamentary commission.

4. International and judicial investigations (non-parliamentary)

Apart from the Israeli Parliament, investigative avenues from courts and international bodies related to Israel's response after October 7 have been opened or promoted:

  • The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is examining South Africa's claim of alleged genocide in Gaza, directly linked to the offensive initiated after the October 7 attacks (article on South Africa at the ICJ).
  • The International Criminal Court (ICC) maintains investigations into possible international crimes related to the Gaza offensive, also arising from October 7, as shown by several reports on sanctions and political pressures on the ICC.

However, these are international judicial investigations, not parliamentary investigations. Therefore, strictly in terms of the “parliamentary phase,” the answer is that the Israeli Parliament has not yet launched its own investigative commission on the attack, and initiatives remain in a phase of recurrently rejected proposals, while the Government develops, in parallel, a commission designing the future investigation subject to criticism and review by the Supreme Court.

What are the functions and powers of the Israeli prime minister according to the country's legislation?

In Israel, the prime minister is the central figure of the executive power and the most influential political actor in the system. Their functions and powers are mainly determined by the Basic Laws (especially the Basic Law: The Government), which act as a sort of material constitution of the country. Unlike a presidential system, the prime minister emerges from the parliamentary majority in the Knesset and governs as long as they retain its confidence.

Appointment and institutional position

The prime minister is, as a general rule, a member of the Knesset whom the President of the State tasks with forming a government after consulting the parties. Their authority rests on:

  • Being the head of Government: leads the cabinet and coordinates the ministers' actions.
  • Political responsibility before the Knesset: the Government as a whole requires an initial vote of confidence and can be toppled by a constructive vote of no confidence (which proposes another prime minister).
  • Dual legal anchoring: subject to the Basic Law and judicial review, including the Supreme Court acting as High Court of Justice.

Government leadership and ministerial coordination

The prime minister's main function is to direct the general policy of the Government. This includes:

  • Setting the strategic lines of government action (security, economy, social policy, settlements, foreign relations, etc.).
  • Calling and presiding over cabinet meetings, setting the agenda and directing deliberations.
  • Resolving conflicts between ministries, acting as a coordination and arbitration body when there are disagreements over competencies or priorities.
  • Supervising the execution of government decisions, being able to require ministers to implement cabinet or ministerial committee agreements.

Although each minister has their own sectoral competencies, the prime minister exercises transversal leadership and can influence the orientation of all portfolios, especially in sensitive areas such as defense and foreign relations.

Appointment and dismissal of ministers

A key power relates to the composition of the Government:

  • Proposes to the President of the State the appointment of ministers, who are usually members of the Knesset but not necessarily.
  • Can request the dismissal of a minister; formally decreed by the president but at the prime minister's initiative.
  • Decides the distribution of portfolios (which ministries exist and who occupies them), within the framework of coalition agreements signed.
  • Can temporarily assume an additional ministerial portfolio if it becomes vacant, until a new person is appointed.

In practice, this ability to configure and reshape the cabinet grants significant political power over coalition partners.

Relations with the Knesset and legislative function

Although Israel is a parliamentary system, the Government and its head have a central role in the legislative process:

  • The prime minister sets the Government's legislative agenda, deciding which projects are presented to the Knesset and with what priority.
  • Can enforce voting discipline on coalition parties in key initiatives, conditioning governmental stability.
  • Intervenes, directly or through emissaries, in the negotiation of laws with other groups, especially on institutional reforms and budgets.
  • Has a decisive role in the approval of the state budget: without a budget, the system foresees automatic consequences, including possible dissolution of the Knesset, which strengthens their leverage.

Foreign policy, security, and emergencies

The Israeli prime minister concentrates relevant powers in fields considered existential for the State:

  • Leads foreign policy, in close coordination with the Minister of Foreign Affairs, and represents the country before other heads of government and international organizations.
  • Has decisive influence over the security establishment (Israel Defense Forces, intelligence services, etc.), presiding over security forums and making strategic decisions together with the Minister of Defense and the security cabinet.
  • In situations of armed conflict or serious crisis, leads decisions on military operations and emergency management, within the framework of the laws of war and parliamentary and judicial oversight.

Term duration and responsibility

The prime minister remains in office as long as they retain the support of a majority in the Knesset and no legal cause of incompatibility or relevant criminal conviction arises. The Basic Law provides mechanisms for:

  • Political responsibility: constructive vote of no confidence, dissolution of the Knesset, and early elections linked to Government stability.
  • Legal responsibility: the prime minister is subject to criminal law and judicial review, can be investigated and tried, with specific rules on suspension or dismissal in case of a final conviction.

Overall, the figure of the Israeli prime minister combines a great concentration of political power with parliamentary and judicial control mechanisms derived from the parliamentary structure and the centrality of the Basic Laws in the country's constitutional system.

What legal requirements are demanded to constitute a state investigative commission in Israel?

In the Israeli legal system, the so-called State Commissions of Inquiry are governed by the Commissions of Inquiry Law of 1969, which establishes a specific framework distinct from a simple political or ministerial commission. From the available press information, several key legal features can be extracted, although not all procedural details are explicitly stated in the consulted sources.

Basic legal framework

The Commissions of Inquiry Law of 1969 provides for the creation of state commissions to examine facts of special public relevance. According to the newspaper Demócrata summarizing a recent ruling by the Supreme Court of Israel, this law indicates that:

  • Commissions must "examine independently, professionally, and impartially" the events that justify their creation.
  • Their members must be selected by the President of the Supreme Court.

These two elements are the legal essence of the “state investigative commission”: a body with a legal mandate of independence and with a composition not freely decided by the Government, but passing through the highest judicial authority in the country.

Who intervenes in the creation of the commission

The political controversy in Israel following the October 7, 2023 attacks illustrates the difference between a genuine state commission and a merely governmental or ministerial commission:

  • According to Demócrata, Benjamin Netanyahu's Government has opted for a ministerial commission, formed by several ministers and chaired by the Minister of Justice.
  • The Supreme Court, when examining that decision, explicitly relies on the 1969 Law to remind that the commissions of inquiry provided therein must be independent and that members must be chosen by the President of the Supreme Court.

From this contrast, a central criterion emerges: when strictly speaking of a “state investigative commission” in the sense of the 1969 Law, the political decision to establish it may come from the Government or the Knesset, but the designation of the specific members belongs to the President of the Supreme Court, which aims to shield its autonomy from the Executive.

Material requirements

Although the news does not transcribe the full text of the Commissions of Inquiry Law of 1969, it does allow identification of several material requirements:

  • The existence of "events that justify its creation", usually events of great national impact (for example, an attack like that of October 7).
  • The purpose of carrying out a thorough examination of political, administrative, or security responsibilities, with a technical and non-partisan approach.
  • The commission's commitment to act with independence, professionalism, and impartiality, as expressly stated in the law according to the cited Supreme Court ruling.

Public opinion pressure, victims, and parliamentary opposition usually trigger this mechanism, precisely because a forum perceived as external to the implicated Government is sought.

Threshold of signatures or votes

Regarding the number of signatures or majority of votes necessary to formally constitute a state investigative commission, the consulted journalistic sources do not detail a specific numerical threshold set by the law. They do reflect debates and votes in the Knesset on the opportunity to open an investigation, but without breaking down the exact technical requirement (simple majority, qualified majority, etc.) demanded by the 1969 law.

Therefore, with the accessible information, it can be stated that:

  • A formal decision by the competent political authorities (Government and/or Parliament) is necessary to activate the law and request the creation of the commission.
  • There is no precise figure of votes or signatures required by the law in the reviewed sources, so that data cannot be specified without directly consulting the Hebrew normative text or other specialized legal material.
Judicial control and guarantee of independence

An important feature of the Israeli system is the role of the Supreme Court's oversight. Demócrata reports that the Supreme Court has demanded the Executive justify why it does not create an independent commission and has directly invoked the Commissions of Inquiry Law of 1969. This suggests that:

  • The decision not to resort to the state commission mechanism can be subject to challenge before the Supreme Court.
  • The court can assess whether the created body respects the law's requirements (independence, professionalism, impartiality, and participation of the Supreme Court President in the appointment of its members).

In sum, the essential legal requirements derived from the current framework are: a mandate to investigate facts of great public relevance, a status of reinforced independence, the selection of members by the President of the Supreme Court, and the possibility of judicial supervision of the political decision to create—or not create—a true state investigative commission.

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