The leader of ERC, Oriol Junqueras, has a current disqualification until 2031, but the decision of the Constitutional Court regarding the appeal of Dolors Bassa opens a new scenario for the republican leader. The doctrine established regarding the application of amnesty to embezzlement brings closer the possibility that this penalty may cease to be executed and, with it, Junqueras may regain the ability to hold public office.
The calendar adds an immediate consequence to that legal discussion. Spain will hold general elections on November 29 and, if Junqueras' judicial situation changes before the candidacies are closed, his electoral situation could also be modified. The ruling of the Constitutional Court, however, does not yet allow us to affirm that the leader of ERC is qualified to run in those elections.
The key now lies in the decisions made by the Supreme Court and, subsequently, in what ERC decides to do with its electoral lists.
What prevents him from being a candidate now
The main obstacle is the disqualification penalty that Junqueras still has in effect. The ERC leader was convicted by the Supreme Court in the procés case and, although he was pardoned from the prison sentence in 2021, that measure of grace did not eliminate the disqualification.
The situation changed again with the approval of the Amnesty Law, but the Supreme Court considered that the embezzlement attributed to the leaders of the procés could not benefit from the norm in the terms proposed. That interpretation has maintained Junqueras' disqualification until now.
The electoral legislation is also decisive. Article 6.2 of the Organic Law of the General Electoral Regime (LOREG) establishes causes of ineligibility for those convicted of certain crimes, including those committed against the Public Administration, when the sentence includes the disqualification penalties contemplated in the very precept.
Therefore, the issue is not only whether Junqueras wants to run or whether ERC decides to include him in a candidacy. In order to do so, the legal impediment arising from his conviction must first be removed.
What changes with the decision of the Constitutional Court
The movement that can alter that situation now comes from the Constitutional Court. The court of guarantees has upheld the appeal presented by Dolors Bassa against the Supreme Court's refusal to apply the amnesty to embezzlement, a decision that transcends the specific case of the former councilor due to the doctrine it establishes regarding this crime.
Although the ruling does not directly resolve Junqueras' situation, it does affect the legal criterion that had allowed embezzlement related to the procés to remain outside the amnesty.
The application of the amnesty would allow to put an end to the execution of the penalties corresponding to the amnestied facts, but that effect does not occur automatically for all the leaders affected by the mere ruling of the Constitutional Court. The law assigns to the competent courts the application of the measure in each procedure.
Hence, the ruling opens the door to a substantial change for Junqueras, but it is still necessary for that doctrine to be transferred to his specific situation.
What the Supreme Court must now resolve
The next step corresponds to the Criminal Chamber of the Supreme Court, which must determine the consequences of the doctrine established by the Constitutional Court regarding the convictions for embezzlement linked to the procés.
The Supreme Court is also expected to act regarding Oriol Junqueras, Jordi Turull, and Raül Romeva, whose situations are affected by the discussion on the application of the amnesty to this crime.
In the case of the ERC leader, the fundamental question will be what happens to the disqualification penalty that remains in effect until 2031. If the Supreme Court applies the amnesty to the facts for which he was convicted and nullifies that penalty, the main obstacle currently affecting his eligibility would disappear.
Until that resolution exists, however, his full capacity to run for elections cannot be considered restored.
The 29N calendar puts pressure on judicial timelines
The call for general elections on November 29 makes the timing of the procedure an especially relevant issue. Candidacies must be formalized during the electoral calendar, and those who are part of them must meet the conditions required by the legislation at that time.
The LOREG establishes that the presentation of each candidacy must be accompanied by the acceptance of its members and the documents that prove their eligibility conditions. Therefore, it is not enough for there to be an expectation that the disqualification will disappear: it will be necessary to address Junqueras' legal situation when the time comes to formalize the lists.
The time margin between the Constitutional Court's decision and the elections thus makes the upcoming resolutions of the Supreme Court decisive to clear the uncertainty.
Being eligible does not mean that one will be a candidate
There is, moreover, a second issue distinct from the strictly judicial. That Junqueras regains eligibility does not automatically mean that he will run in the general elections on November 29.
The first decision corresponds to the courts: to determine whether the amnesty ends his disqualification. The second is strictly political and corresponds to ERC and Junqueras himself, who would have to decide on his eventual incorporation into a candidacy and formalize it within the established deadlines.
Therefore, there are two successive uncertainties. First, it must be resolved whether Junqueras becomes eligible again and, only after that, whether ERC decides to present him for the elections.
The republican leader celebrated this Tuesday the judicial turnaround in a statement from the ERC headquarters. "Now politics returns", Junqueras stated, at a moment when the Constitutional Court's decision can modify not only his judicial situation but also the options he will have open before the elections on November 29.