Pedro Sánchez faces this Monday with the preparations for a possible electoral advance advanced and an alternative on the table to recover part of the housing measures rejected by Congress. According to various sources and published also by El País, the president's team is studying to approve a new decree and submit it, once the Cortes are dissolved, to the Permanent Deputation.
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Elections on November 29 and housing decree: Sánchez's way to do "everything at once"
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The sources consulted in the Government and the PSOE point to an announcement this Monday, although the decision remains in Sánchez's hands. The newspaper also contemplates that the president may ultimately opt for another strategy. The described preparations do not yet equate to an announced call.
The novelty has a relevant political consequence: a dissolution would change the body responsible for voting on the decrees and, with it, the weight of the groups. Junts could cease to be decisive for approving the anti-eviction shield.
Why dissolving Congress would change the voting
The Permanent Deputation maintains certain parliamentary functions when the Chambers are dissolved. Among them is the validation or repeal of the decree-laws, in accordance with articles 78 and 86 of the Constitution.
Therefore, calling elections would not eliminate parliamentary control over a new urgent norm. That control would pass from the full Congress to a smaller body, which continues to function until the constitution of the new Chamber.
In this legislature, the Permanent Deputation has 69 members. Its composition includes 27 representatives from the PP, 24 from the PSOE plus the president of Congress, six from Vox and six from Sumar. ERC, Junts, EH Bildu, PNV and the Mixed Group each have one representative.
The sum that would allow it to be approved without Junts
In the scenario described by EL PAÍS, the 25 socialist votes, counting Francina Armengol, and the six from Sumar would add up to 31. With the representatives from ERC, EH Bildu, PNV and Podemos, through the Mixed Group, they would reach 35.
Against them, PP, Vox and Junts would gather 34 votes. If those supports were maintained, Junts' rejection would not be enough to prevent the validation.
There is an important nuance: the decree-laws are validated by simple majority, with more votes in favor than against. The 35 supports would ensure victory with the 69 members voting, but there is no general requirement for an absolute majority for this procedure.
The operation would depend, in any case, on the content of the new text and the effective vote of each group. It would not be enough to transfer the voting to another body.
The Government does not enter into functions when calling elections
The dissolution of the Cortes does not automatically turn the Executive into a Government in functions. The Constitution and the Law of the Government place that step after the holding of elections, except for other cases of cessation.
During the electoral period, the Executive would retain its powers, including the possibility of approving decree-laws within the constitutional requirements and limits.
That would not resurrect the decrees rejected on Friday. It would be necessary to approve a new norm, justify its extraordinary and urgent need, and submit it again to parliamentary control.
The PNV would remain decisive
As DEMÓCRATA anticipated and El País corroborates, Moncloa concentrates its efforts on recovering the first decree, the one for protection against evictions. The same formula would not guarantee the approval of the second, related to the stability of rental contracts, due to the opposition of the PNV.
The difference shows the limits of the alternative: Sánchez could find a majority for some measures, but not have automatic support for the entire package.
Politically, recovering the shield before the polls would allow him to accompany a possible call with a concrete decision on housing. The president could present the elections as a request for a new majority while trying to approve part of the immediate response.